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[monks data]
Dortmund logo
Europa League | Qualifying Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 17, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Rangers logo

Dortmund
2 - 4
Rangers

Bellingham (51'), Guerreiro (82')
Zagadou (73')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Tavernier (38' pen.), Morelos (41'), Lundstram (49'), Zagadou (54' og.)
McGregor (79')

Preview: Borussia Dortmund vs. Rangers - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Borussia Dortmund and Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

The Europa League returns on Thursday night as Borussia Dortmund host Rangers in the first leg of their knockout round match, with each team hoping to earn a place in the next stage of the competition.

The hosts have two of their last four fixtures, while the Gers head into this game on the back of three victories without conceding a single goal.


Match preview

Borussia Dortmund coach Marco Rose looks dejected after the match on February 6, 2022© Reuters

Borussia Dortmund got themselves back to winning ways at the weekend after losing their previous game against Bayern Leverkusen when they defeated Union Berlin 3-0.

A brace from Marco Reus and a goal by Raphael Guerreiro secured the result, which kept them second in the Bundesliga, just six points behind Bayern Munich.

However, they have been inconsistent as of late, being beaten in two of their last four outings, one of which saw them knocked out DFB-Pokal, and they will be hoping that form does not follow them into this competition.

The German outfit dropped down from the Champions League after finishing third in Group C, missing out on second place by goal difference, as Sporting Lisbon and Ajax finished above them.

Dortmund did win half of their matches in that tournament, including their most recent European fixture, which resulted in an emphatic 5-0 victory over Besiktas, and they will be wanting to take that form into this match.

Rangers manager Giovanni van Bronckhorst on February 2, 2022© Reuters

However, Rangers have not conceded a single goal in their previous three matches, turning their poor form at the start of the year around quickly with some impressive results in all competitions.

The Gers struggled at the turn of the year, which led to Celtic overtaking them in the Scottish Premiership as they slumped into second place, but since being beaten by the Hoops they have scored 10 goals in three games.

Despite that, the club does not have a great history against German teams in European competition, having been beaten in seven of their previous eight matches, with their last win being in 1998.

These two teams have not faced each other since the 1999-00 season, which makes this a fresh match-up, and the Gers have been able to progress in 10 out of their 14 most recent two-legged fixtures in the Europa League (or UEFA Cup).

Three goals in the first half saw Rangers knock out Annan Athletic in the Scottish Cup, which also saw them rest several first-team players, who should now be fresh for Thursday.

Borussia Dortmund form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W

Rangers Europa League form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D

Rangers form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Rangers manager Giovanni van Bronckhorst on November 25, 2021© Reuters

Mats Hummels was brought back into the Borussia Dortmund starting lineup at the weekend, and after helping guide his team to a clean sheet, he will be set to keep his place.

Meanwhile, Erling Braut Haaland could be available for the German outfit as he continues to battle back from a groin injury, but Mateu Morey and Marcel Schmelzer remain absentees for the club.

After making a handful of changes at the weekend, Rangers will likely bring several players back into the team on Thursday, with Allan McGregor set to return in goal.

Alfredo Morelos will also be set to start up front, leading the line for the Gers, while Fil Helander could be in contention to retain his place after making his return to the team following an injury layoff.

Borussia Dortmund possible starting lineup:
Kobel; Akanji, Zagadou, Hummels, Guerreiro; Bellingham, Witsel, Dahoud; Reus, Brandt, Haaland

Rangers possible starting lineup:
McGregor; Tavernier, Goldson, Balogun, Bassey; Kamara, Lundstram; Kent, Aribo, Arfield; Morelos


SM words green background

We say: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Rangers

Both teams will be aiming to establish an early advantage in this first leg, but with Borussia Dortmund having the benefit of being at home, they will likely take all three points, especially with their squad depth.

However, Rangers have been in fine form lately, especially from an offensive perspective, which is why they will likely at least get themselves an away goal.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



ID:478160:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect8918:
Written by
Matthew Wilkinson

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.13%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Rangers win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Dortmund vs Rangers

Borussia Dortmund
83.9%
Draw
8.6%
Rangers
7.5%
279
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