CONCACAF Nations League | League B

Nov 16, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio Cibao

Bermuda
2 - 1
Antigua

Drew (8'), Lambe (48')
Twite (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Massicot (69')
Drew (74'), Everton John Gonsalves (90+1')

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Bermuda and Antigua and Barbuda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bermuda

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Bermuda 3-2 Dominica
Tuesday, October 15 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bermuda	0	0	0
2	Belize	0	0	0
3	Saint Vincent & the Grenadines	0	0	0
4	French Guiana	0	0	0

Antigua and Barbuda

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Dominican Rep. 5-0 Antigua
Tuesday, October 15 at 6.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Antigua and Barbuda	0	0	0
2	Guyana	0	0	0
3	Puerto Rico	0	0	0
4	Bahamas	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bermuda win with a probability of 48.51%. A win for Antigua and Barbuda had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bermuda win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.99%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Antigua and Barbuda win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bermuda in this match.

Result
Bermuda	Draw	Antigua and Barbuda
48.51% ( 0.13)	21.27% ( 0.14)	30.21% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 69.36% (

-0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.42% (

-0.89)

29.57% (

0.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.32% (

-1.09)

50.67% (

1.08)

Bermuda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.1% (

-0.28)

12.89% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.7% (

-0.58)

39.29% (

0.58)

Antigua and Barbuda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.63% (

-0.59)

20.37% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.22% (

-0.95)

52.77% (

0.94)

Score Analysis

Bermuda 48.51%

Antigua and Barbuda 30.21%

Draw 21.27%

Bermuda	Draw	Antigua and Barbuda
2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.36% Total : 48.51%	1-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.27%	1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.05) 3-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.91% Total : 30.21%