Europa League Gameweek 2
Benfica
Oct 15, 2026 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Celtic
  • Jhon Durán 5' goal
  • Alexander Bah 23' goal
  • Jhon Durán 36' goal
  • Samuel Dahl 44' yellowcard
  • Alexander Bah 69' yellowcard
  • João Palhinha 85' yellowcard
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 89' goal
  • goal Camilo Durán 63'

Benfica vs Celtic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
AC Milan 0 - 2 Benfica

Celtic

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 58.49%. A win for Celtic had a probability of 21.86% and a draw had a probability of 19.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.66%) and 1-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Celtic win was 1-2 (5.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.3%).

Result

Benfica 58.49% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 19.65% ▼ (-0.04)
Celtic 21.86% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.64%

Goals

Over 1.5 85.36% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 14.64% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 66.79% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 33.21% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 44.57% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 55.43% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 29.6% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 70.4% ▼ (-0.09)

First Half Winner

Benfica 45.1% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 32.34% ▲ (+0.13)
Celtic 22.56% ▼ (-0.05)

Team To Score First

Benfica 60.25% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 3.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Celtic 36.59% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 75% ▼ (-0.05)
Equal 8 8.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 16.55% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 9 65.08% ▼ (-0.07)
Equal 9 9.92% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 25% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 10.5 54.4% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 10.5 45.6% ▲ (+0.06)

Benfica Goals

Over 1.5 61.85% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 38.15% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 35.77% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 64.23% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 3.5 17.21% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 82.79% ▼ (-0.07)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5 59.32% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 40.68% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 30.4% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 69.6% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 11.66% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 88.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.78%
Under 3.5 96.22%

Score analysis

Benfica 58.49%
Draw 19.65%
Celtic 21.85%
Benfica
2-1 @ 9.91%
2-0 @ 7.66%
1-0 @ 7.34% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.58% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.59% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 16.92% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 58.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.3% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 19.65%
Celtic
1-2 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.03)
0-1 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.51%
1-3 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 21.85%

Head to Head

Benfica
Nov 20, 2012 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Celtic
  • Ola John 0' goal
  • Ezequiel Garay 0' goal
  • goal Georgios Samaras 0'
Celtic
Sep 19, 2012 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Benfica

Form Data

Benfica 2 - 0 Guimaraes
Porto 3 - 1 Benfica
AC Milan 0 - 2 Benfica
Benfica 3 - 1 Gil Vicente
Moreirense 0 - 4 Benfica
Maritimo 0 - 3 Benfica
Motherwell 0 - 2 Celtic
Celtic 0 - 1 Rangers
Celtic 1 - 3 Ferencvaros
Rangers 3 - 0 Celtic
St Johnstone 0 - 1 Celtic
St Mirren 1 - 2 Celtic

Build-up

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