Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Royal Antwerp had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Royal Antwerp win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Charleroi in this match.