Royal Antwerp
Belgian Pro League
May 29, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Bosuilstadion

Antwerp
1 - 2
Charleroi

Bayo (86')
Deman (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Keita (61'), Guiagon (90+5')
Zorgane (65'), Heymans (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Belgian Pro League clash between Royal Antwerp and Charleroi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brugge 1-1 Antwerp
Sunday, May 25 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Charleroi 2-1 Leuven
Saturday, May 24 at 7pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Royal Antwerp had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Royal Antwerp win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Charleroi in this match.

Result
Royal AntwerpDrawCharleroi
33.67% (-3.527 -3.53)24.17% (-0.02 -0.02)42.16% (3.542 3.54)
Both teams to score 60.17% (-0.58 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.71% (-0.489 -0.49)42.29% (0.485 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.31% (-0.492 -0.49)64.69% (0.48700000000001 0.49)
Royal Antwerp Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.44% (-2.146 -2.15)24.56% (2.141 2.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.95% (-3.108 -3.11)59.05% (3.103 3.1)
Charleroi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.76% (1.455 1.46)20.24% (-1.459 -1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.42% (2.276 2.28)52.57% (-2.281 -2.28)
Score Analysis
    Royal Antwerp 33.67%
    Charleroi 42.16%
    Draw 24.17%
Royal AntwerpDrawCharleroi
2-1 @ 7.83% (-0.482 -0.48)
1-0 @ 6.98% (-0.294 -0.29)
2-0 @ 4.9% (-0.538 -0.54)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.479 -0.48)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-0 @ 2.29% (-0.418 -0.42)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.262 -0.26)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.156 -0.16)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 33.67%
1-1 @ 11.15% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.25% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.97% (0.106 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.17%
1-2 @ 8.91% (0.416 0.42)
0-1 @ 7.94% (0.509 0.51)
0-2 @ 6.34% (0.666 0.67)
1-3 @ 4.74% (0.419 0.42)
0-3 @ 3.38% (0.486 0.49)
2-3 @ 3.33% (0.096 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.89% (0.242 0.24)
0-4 @ 1.35% (0.244 0.24)
2-4 @ 1.33% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 42.16%

How you voted: Antwerp vs Charleroi

Royal Antwerp
45.8%
Draw
18.8%
Charleroi
35.4%
48
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 17
Antwerp
1-3
Charleroi
Chery (90' pen.)
Janssen (9'), Alderweireld (58')
Stulic (2', 55'), Andreou (49')
Stulic (21'), Kone (88')
Jul 28, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Charleroi
0-1
Antwerp

Petris (15'), Camara (64'), Janssen (83'), Titraoui (88')
Janssen (10')
Dragsnes (76'), Heymans (90+2'), Odoi (90+2')
Jan 21, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 21
Antwerp
4-1
Charleroi
Janssen (19'), Ilenikhena (41'), Wijndal (65'), Ekkelenkamp (76')
Kerk (87')
Bernier (85')
Ilaimaharitra (43'), Mbenza (58')
Oct 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Charleroi
3-2
Antwerp
Stulic (50'), Ilaimaharitra (65' pen., 88' pen.)
Knezevic (16'), Ilaimaharitra (60')
Mazzu (17')
Mar 19, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 30
Antwerp
0-1
Charleroi
Badji (15')
rhs 2.0


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