Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 19.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Leuven win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Charleroi in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Charleroi.