Belgian Pro League Gameweek 10
May 24, 2025 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Nikola Stulic 25' yellowcard
  • Cheick Keita 29' goal
  • Alexandre Stanic 88' goal
  • goal Yacine Titraoui 43' (OG)
  • yellowcard Thibault Vlietinck 75'

Charleroi vs Leuven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Charleroi

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
May 18, 2025 3.00pm
Mechelen 1 - 1 Charleroi
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Nikola Stulic

Leuven

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
May 16, 2025 7.45pm
Leuven 0 - 2 Westerlo
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Siebe Schrijvers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 19.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Leuven win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Charleroi in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Charleroi.

Result

Charleroi 57.29% (+0.33)
Draw 23.13% (-0.13)
Leuven 19.58% (-0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.65% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.18% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 48.82% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 29.08% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 70.92% (-0.22)
Over 4.5 14.04% (+0.16)
Under 4.5 85.96% (-0.15)

Charleroi Goals

Over 0.5 83.2% (+0.21)
Under 0.5 16.8% (-0.21)
Over 1.5 53.24% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 46.76% (-0.36)

Leuven Goals

Over 0.5 60.87% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 39.13% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 24.15% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 75.85% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Charleroi 57.28%
Draw 23.13%
Leuven 19.58%
Charleroi
1-0 @ 11.72% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 10.45% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.81% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.22% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5.84% (+0.05)
4-0 @ 2.77% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.74% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.6% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.22% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 57.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 11% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 6.57% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 23.13%
Leuven
0-1 @ 6.17% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 5.16% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.89% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.61% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 19.58%

Head to Head

Belgian Pro League Gameweek 1
Mar 28, 2025 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
  • Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi 41' yellowcard
  • Jovan Mijatovic 46' yellowcard
  • Jovan Mijatovic 58' redcard
  • Oscar Gil 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daan Heymans 9'
  • yellowcard Adem Zorgane 63'
  • goal 84'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 18
Dec 14, 2024 5.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
  • Konan N'dri 61' goal
  • Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi 63' yellowcard
  • Federico Ricca 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Parfait Guiagon 31'
  • yellowcard Stelios Andreou 46'
  • redcard Stelios Andreou 79'
  • redcard Oday Dabbagh 90'+8'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 12
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • goal Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi 32'
  • yellowcard Ezechiel Banzuzi 33'
  • goal Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Oscar Gil 57'
  • yellowcard Oscar Gil 75'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 26
Feb 17, 2024 5.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
  • Mathieu Maertens 14' yellowcard
  • Youssef Maziz 48' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daan Heymans 13'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Petris 25'
  • yellowcard Etienne Camara 39'
  • redcard Etienne Camara 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Herve Koffi 90'+6'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 1
Jul 29, 2023 5.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Oday Dabbagh 9' goal
  • Nikola Stulic 17' redcard
  • Isaac Mbenza 39' yellowcard
  • Marco Ilaimaharitra 52' yellowcard
  • Daan Heymans 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mathieu Maertens 62'
  • goal Nathan Opoku 84'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 29
Mar 10, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • goal Moussa Al Tamari 16'