Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 19.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Leuven win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Charleroi in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Charleroi.

Result
Charleroi	Draw	Leuven
57.29% ( 0.33)	23.13% ( -0.12)	19.58% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 50.65% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.18% (

0.24)

48.82% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.08% (

0.22)

70.92% (

-0.22)

Charleroi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.2% (

0.2)

16.8% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.24% (

0.36)

46.76% (

-0.36)

Leuven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.87% (

-0.08)

39.13% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.15% (

-0.07)

75.85% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Charleroi 57.28%

Leuven 19.58%

Draw 23.13%

Charleroi	Draw	Leuven
1-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.98% Total : 57.28%	1-1 @ 11% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 23.13%	0-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.4% Total : 19.58%