Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 58.77%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Royal Antwerp had a probability of 19.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Royal Antwerp win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.