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Barnsley
Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 17, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Oakwell
Luton Town

Barnsley
0 - 1
Luton


Helik (37')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bell (4')
Muskwe (41'), Adebayo (45'), Lansbury (57'), Cornick (90+2')

Preview: Barnsley vs. Luton Town - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Barnsley and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

After differing results at the weekend, Barnsley and Luton Town will make a quick return to Championship action on Tuesday, as they square off at Oakwell.

The hosts picked up a narrow 1-0 victory over Coventry City on Saturday after a draw to begin the season, while their visitors' winning start was followed by a 3-2 defeat to promotion-chasing West Bromwich Albion.


Match preview

Barnsley's Cauley Woodrow celebrates scoring their first goal with Callum Brittain in May 2021© Reuters

After narrowly escaping relegation to League One in the 2019-20 campaign, Valerien Ismael guided Barnsley to the playoffs against the odds last season.

The Tykes collected an eye-catching points tally of 78 to pip the likes of AFC Bournemouth and Reading to fifth spot in just their second season back in the second tier after promotion from League One.

That finish saw them handed a tie with Swansea City in the playoff semi-finals, and a 1-0 home defeat in the first leg meant they faced a very tough test upon their trip to South Wales.

While they were unable to overcome the deficit, eventually drawing 1-1 on the day and losing 2-1 on aggregate, the South Yorkshire outfit did give an impressive account of themselves, but they will now start a new chapter under the management of Markus Schopp after the departure of Ismael to West Bromwich Albion over the summer.

The Austrian kicked off his tenure with an impressive point following a 1-1 draw away against Cardiff City, as Toby Sibbick drew them level in the 69th minute after Marlon Pack's opener for the Bluebirds.

After losing on a penalty shootout to Bolton Wanderers in the first round of the EFL Cup after a goalless draw, the Tykes returned to league action last time out, and it did not take them long to record their first Championship win under Schopp.

On Saturday, a Dominik Frieser goal fired them to a 1-0 victory over Coventry City, with Bradley Collins securing the result by saving a last-minute penalty from the visitors.

In their bid to record back-to-back league victories, they take on a Luton Town side who will be keen to bounce back from a defeat to West Bromwich Albion.

Luton Town manager Nathan Jones pictured on April 21, 2021© Reuters

In their visit to promotion-chasing West Brom, Nathan Jones's men went three goals behind as Callum Robinson and Karlan Grant got on the scoresheet after Kal Naismith's early own goal, and the result looked all but sealed.

A 70th-minute Harry Cornick goal kept the game alive, but by the time Pelly Ruddock reduced the deficit to one goal in the sixth minute of added time, it was too late to salvage a result.

Nonetheless, the Hatters certainly showed what they were capable of under Jones against one of the league's strongest sides, after starting the season with a resounding 3-0 victory over Peterborough United.

Elijah Adebayo put them ahead on the half-hour mark, and that one-goal lead lasted deep into the second half until Cornick doubled their advantage and Fred Onyedinma immediately made it three in the 71st minute.

Following Jones's return to the club after previously guiding them to promotion back to the second tier, the only way seems to be up for the Hatters, as they look to again improve this campaign after last season's commendable 11th-placed finish.

Barnsley Championship form:
  • D
  • W

Barnsley form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • W

Luton Town Championship form:
  • W
  • L

Luton Town form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • L



Team News

Barnsley's Callum Brittain in action with Swansea City's Jamal Lowe in the Championship playoffs on May 17, 2021© Reuters

Barnsley will likely remain without centre-back Mads Andersen, who is battling a knee injury, with Liam Kitching expected to keep his spot in the back three alongside Michal Helik and Toby Sibbick in his absence.

The Tykes faced a huge loss in the summer as midfielder and captain Alex Mowatt departed at the end of his contract to join former manager Valerien Ismael at West Bromwich Albion.

That has triggered the movement of talented 21-year-old Callum Styles into the centre, after hugely impressing in a left wing-back role previously.

Daryl Dike is another notable loss after the forward's successful loan spell came to an end, and the responsibility for goals this season will largely fall on Cauley Woodrow and Carlton Morris.

Luton Town have more selection concerns to deal with than their opponents, as captain Sonny Bradley is out of action alongside fellow centre-back Tom Lockyer and full-back Daniel Potts.

In the face of those defensive absences, Jones had to deploy a somewhat makeshift back four for the visit to the Hawthorns, with utility man Kal Naismith partnering with Gabriel Osho, flanked by James Bree and Amari'i Bell in the full-back spots.

The front three of Fred Onyedinma, Elijah Adebayo and Harry Cornick should remain unchanged, with all three having found the net in the opening game of the season, while Cornick was again on the scoresheet last time out.

Onyedinma particularly impressed in that opening win over Peterborough, as he scored the third goal and assisted the other two on his debut after joining from Wycombe Wanderers in the summer, offering Nathan Jones an exciting new option going forward.

Barnsley possible starting lineup:
Collins; Sibbick, Helik, Kitching; Brittain, Styles, Palmer, Williams; Morris, Woodrow, Frieser

Luton Town possible starting lineup:
Sluga; Bree, Osho, Naismith, Bell; Clark, Campbell, Ruddock; Cornick, Adebayo, Onyedinma


SM words green background

We say: Barnsley 1-1 Luton Town

Both sides have shown a general upwards trajectory in recent years and have kicked off the new season in impressive fashion, making this a particularly exciting and unpredictable encounter.

On this occasion, we cannot quite split them, and are opting for a hard-fought point for each side in what should be an end-to-end encounter.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Draw:data



ID:459524:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect12333:
Written by
Sam Varley

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.69%) and 2-1 (7.4%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (12.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Barnsley vs Luton

Barnsley
77.0%
Draw
12.4%
Luton Town
10.6%
113
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Luton Town manager Nathan Jones pictured on April 21, 2021
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