Europa League Gameweek 4
Nov 5, 2026 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Wesley Hoedt 28' yellowcard
  • Mexx Meerdink 88' goal
  • goal Teun Koopmeiners 19'
  • goal Randal Kolo Muani 37'
  • yellowcard Andrea Cambiaso 48'
  • yellowcard Jeff Ekhator 85'
  • yellowcard Juan Cabal 90'+4'

AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
Sunderland 1 - 0 AZ

Juventus

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 (8.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result

AZ Alkmaar 36.1% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 25.49%
Juventus 38.44% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.01% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.07% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 24.93% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 51.05% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 48.95% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 29.12% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 70.88% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 16.73% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 83.27% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

AZ Alkmaar 28.19%
Draw 39.01%
Juventus 32.8%

Team To Score First

AZ Alkmaar 43.35% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 7.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Juventus 49.53%

Corners

Over 8 51.88%
Equal 8 11.59%
Under 8 36.53%
Over 9 40.61%
Equal 9 11.28%
Under 9 48.12%
Over 10.5 30.5%
Under 10.5 69.5%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 1.5 36.97% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 63.03% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 14.92% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 85.08% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 5.18% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.82% ▼ (-0.04)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5 70.57% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 29.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 38.36% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 61.64% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 16.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 83.96% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.52% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.48% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

AZ Alkmaar 36.1%
Draw 25.49%
Juventus 38.45%
AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 8.6% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 7.93% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41%
Other @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 36.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.62% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.12% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 25.49%
Juventus
0-1 @ 9.25% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.09% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.57%
0-3 @ 3.11%
2-3 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.3%
Total : 38.45%