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Leicester logo
Premier League | Gameweek 26
Feb 28, 2021 at 12pm UK
King Power Stadium
Arsenal logo
Leicester
1 - 3
Arsenal
Tielemans (6')
Thomas (38'), Tielemans (72')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Luiz (39'), Lacazette (45+2' pen.), Pepe (52')
Tierney (90+3')

Preview: Leicester City vs. Arsenal - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Leicester City and Arsenal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

One of the standout fixtures in the next round of Premier League action will take place at the King Power Stadium on Sunday afternoon as Leicester City welcome Arsenal.

Leicester are currently third in the Premier League table, level on points with second-placed Manchester United, while Arsenal sit down in 11th spot, 11 points behind fourth-placed West Ham United.


Match preview

Leicester City's Harvey Barnes celebrates scoring against Aston Villa in the Premier League on February 21, 2021© Reuters

Leicester are very much in the mix for a top-four finish in this season's Premier League, with the Foxes picking up 49 points from their 25 matches to occupy third spot in the table, level on points with second-placed Man United and six clear of fifth-placed Chelsea, meaning that they have a nice cushion at this stage.

Brendan Rodgers's side have picked up 10 points from their last four league matches, including back-to-back wins over Liverpool and Aston Villa, but they will enter this game off the back of a disappointing 2-0 loss to Slavia Prague in the second leg of their last-32 Europa League clash on Thursday night.

Leicester's European journey for the 2020-21 campaign has finished, but they are still in the FA Cup - taking on Man United in the quarter-finals of the competition on March 21 - and have plenty to play for in the league as they bid to secure a return to the Champions League for the 2021-22 season.

Rodgers's side have been excellent on their travels this term, boasting the second-best away record in England's top flight, but they have lost five of their 12 league fixtures at the King Power Stadium and will certainly be wary of an Arsenal team that are full of talent despite their struggles.

Leicester have not lost to the Gunners in England's top flight since October 2018, though, and recorded a 1-0 victory when the two teams locked horns in the reverse match at the Emirates Stadium in October.

Arsenal's Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang celebrates scoring against Benfica in the Europa League on February 25, 2021© Reuters

Arsenal also looked to be heading out of the Europa League on Thursday as they trailed Benfica 2-1 on the night and 3-2 on aggregate just past the hour of the second leg at the Emirates Stadium.

Kieran Tierney scored in the 67th minute, though, before Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang netted the decisive goal in the 87th minute, which saw Mikel Arteta's side advance to the round of 16, where they will face Olympiacos.

There is no getting away from the fact that it has been a desperately disappointing league campaign for the club once again, though, and their poor form continued last weekend as they suffered a 1-0 home defeat to Manchester City, making it just three points from their last four fixtures in England's top flight.

A total of 34 points from 25 matches has left them down in 11th position in the table, 11 points off the top four and actually only four points clear of Southampton in 14th, which is an indication of their struggles.

Arsenal's away form this season has also been disappointing, losing six of their 12 league fixtures on their travels, and another poor result on Sunday would leave them in a vulnerable position ahead of a run which includes games against Tottenham Hotspur, West Ham and Liverpool.

Leicester City Premier League form: DLWDWW
Leicester City form (all competitions): DWWDWL

Arsenal Premier League form: WDLLWL
Arsenal form (all competitions): LLWDLW


Team News

Leicester City's James Maddison celebrates scoring against Newcastle United in the Premier League on January 3, 2021© Reuters

Leicester will again be without the services of James Justin, James Maddison, Ayoze Perez, Wesley Fofana, Dennis Praet and Wes Morgan for this weekend's contest at the King Power Stadium.

The Foxes did not pick up any fresh concerns in the Europa League on Thursday, but Rodgers is expected to make changes from the clash with Slavia Prague.

Ricardo Pereira, Timothy Castagne and Harvey Barnes will all definitely be back in the side, while there could also be a position in the middle of the park for Nampalys Mendy, who replaced Maddison off the bench against Villa last weekend.

As for Arsenal, Rob Holding missed out against Benfica on Thursday due to the concussion protocols, but the centre-back is expected to be available for selection here.

The Gunners are otherwise at full strength in terms of their first-team squad, and it will be fascinating to see Arteta's thinking after the Europa League contest last time out.

Thomas Partey featured off the bench against Benfica and could now come into the XI, but Arteta is expected to resist the temptation to shuffle his pack, meaning that Willian and Alexandre Lacazette should remain on the bench, with Martin Odegaard and Emile Smith Rowe retaining their spots.

Leicester City possible starting lineup:
Schmeichel; Ricardo, Evans, Soyuncu, Castagne; Albrighton, Tielemans, Ndidi, Mendy, Barnes; Vardy

Arsenal possible starting lineup:
Leno; Bellerin, Luiz, Gabriel, Tierney; Thomas, Xhaka; Saka, Odegaard, Smith Rowe; Aubameyang


SM words green background

We say: Leicester City 2-1 Arsenal

Arsenal will enter the match off the back of a positive result in Europe, but the same cannot be said for Leicester, who would have fancied their chances of advancing to the round of 16. Rodgers's side have been in strong form in the league, though, and we fancy them to overcome the Gunners on Sunday afternoon.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data




Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.


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Leicester City manager Brendan Rodgers pictured in February 2021
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal28204470244664
2Liverpool28197265263964
3Manchester CityMan City28196363283563
4Aston Villa29175760421856
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs28165759421753
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd28152113939047
7West Ham UnitedWest Ham2912894650-444
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2811985044642
9Wolverhampton WanderersWolves28125114244-241
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle281241259481140
11Chelsea27116104745239
12Fulham29115134344-138
13Bournemouth2898114152-1135
14Crystal Palace2878133348-1529
15Brentford2975174154-1326
16Everton2887132939-1025
17Luton TownLuton2957174260-1822
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2967163551-1621
19Burnley2945202963-3417
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd2835202474-5014

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