Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 14
Independiente
Oct 25, 2026 8.00pm
Estadio Libertadores de América
Boca Juniors

Independiente vs Boca Juniors - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 6.45pm
Racing 1 - 1 Independiente
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Gabriel Avalos

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 1.30am
Boca Juniors 2 - 1 Talleres
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Miguel Merentiel 

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Independiente has a probability of 31.66% and a draw has a probability of 29.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Independiente win is 1-0 (10.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.36%).

Result

Independiente 31.66% ▲ (+0.15)
Draw 29.65% ▲ (+0.33)
Boca Juniors 38.69% ▼ (-0.52)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.15% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.59% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 33.41% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 40.48% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 2.5 59.52% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 3.5 19.4% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 80.6% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 9.44% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 90.56% ▼ (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Independiente 25.35% ▲ (+0.52)
Draw 47.86% ▼ (-0.80)
Boca Juniors 26.8% ▲ (+0.31)

Team To Score First

Independiente 43.28% ▼ (-1.01)
No Goal 10.98% ▲ (+0.18)
Boca Juniors 45.74% ▲ (+0.84)

Corners

Over 8 51.75% ▲ (+0.61)
Equal 8 11.68%
Under 8 36.58% ▼ (-0.60)
Over 9 40.4% ▲ (+0.56)
Equal 9 11.35% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 9 48.25% ▼ (-0.61)
Over 10.5 30.25% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 10.5 69.75% ▼ (-0.49)

Independiente Goals

Over 1.5 28.02% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 1.5 71.98% ▼ (-0.26)
Over 2.5 9% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 2.5 91% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 3.5 2.19% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 97.81% ▼ (-0.10)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5 68.46% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 0.5 31.54% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 1.5 33.7% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 66.3% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 12.05% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 87.95% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 3.5 3.47% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 96.53% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Independiente 31.68%
Draw 29.65%
Boca Juniors 38.7%
Independiente
1-0 @ 10.65% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 7.25% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 5.6% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.17)
3-2 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 31.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.36% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 10.98% ▲ (+0.18)
2-2 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.11% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 29.65%
Boca Juniors
0-1 @ 11.81% ▼ (-0.22)
1-2 @ 8.53% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.13% ▼ (-0.21)
1-3 @ 3.14%
0-3 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 38.7%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 14
Boca Juniors
Apr 11, 2026 11.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Alberto José Armando
Independiente
  • Adam Bareiro 46' yellowcard
  • Miguel Merentiel  46' yellowcard
  • Milton Giménez  45'+11' yellowcard
  • Santiago Ascacíbar 68' yellowcard
  • Santiago Ascacíbar 69' yellowcard
  • Exequiel Zeballos 69' yellowcard
  • Santiago Ascacíbar 70' yellowcard
  • Milton Delgado 74' yellowcard
  • goal Matías Abaldo 9'
  • yellowcard Juan Fedorco 74'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Fernández Cedrés 83'
  • yellowcard Facundo Samuel Valdez 83'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Freire 83'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Freire 84'
  • yellowcard Felipe Tempone 90'
Argentine Primera Division
Boca Juniors
May 20, 2025 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
Independiente
  • Ayrton Costa 48' yellowcard
  • Ayrton Costa 48' yellowcard
  • Kevin Zenon 68' yellowcard
  • Kevin Zenon 68' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Battaglia 81' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Battaglia 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Federico Vera 46'
  • yellowcard Federico Vera 46'
  • goal Alvaro Anyiver Angulo Mosquera 64'
  • goal Alvaro Anyiver Angulo Mosquera 64'
  • yellowcard Matias Gimenez Rojas 85'
  • yellowcard Matias Gimenez Rojas 85'
  • yellowcard Pablo Galdames 86'
  • yellowcard Pablo Galdames 86'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Rey 88'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Rey 88'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 27
Boca Juniors
Dec 14, 2024 10.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
Independiente
  • Milton Delgado 30' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Fernandez 34' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joaquin Laso 15'
  • yellowcard Felipe Loyola 81'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 27
Independiente
Jul 29, 2023 9.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de America
Boca Juniors
  • Brian Martinez 25' yellowcard
  • Cristian Baez 26' yellowcard
  • Baltasar Barcia 50' yellowcard
  • Ivan Marcone 65' yellowcard
  • Sergio Ortiz 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Fernandez 36'
  • yellowcard Miguel Merentiel 62'
  • goal Exequiel Zeballos 72'
  • goal Nicolas Valentini 77'
Club Friendlies 1
Boca Juniors
Jan 8, 2023 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio San Juan del Bicentenario
Independiente
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 27
Boca Juniors
Oct 23, 2022 9.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Independiente
  • Guillermo Fernandez 34' goal
  • Sebastian Villa 49' goal
  • goal Leandro Fernandez 32'
  • goal Javier Vallejo 81'

Form Data

Racing 1 - 1 Independiente
Talleres 0 - 0 Independiente
Independiente 1 - 4 Instituto
Union 1 - 2 Independiente
Independiente 1 - 1 San Lorenzo
C. Cordoba 0 - 1 Independiente
Vasco 1 - 3 Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors 2 - 1 Talleres
Boca Juniors 0 - 1 Vasco
Instituto 2 - 2 Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors 3 - 0 Union
San Lorenzo 0 - 2 Boca Juniors