Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Colon had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Colon win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.