Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 59.83%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 14.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.01%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.33%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (7.22%).