Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 42.58%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 27.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.92%) and 1-2 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.46%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 1-0 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.