CONCACAF Nations League
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Kieran Richards
50'
-
Javorn Stevens
61'
-
Cesar Garcia
3'
-
Cesar Garcia
11'
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Dorny Romero
13'
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Ronaldo Vasquez
39'
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Junior Firpo
88'
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Junior Firpo
90'+2'
Antigua and Barbuda vs Dominican Republic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 50.56%. A win for Antigua and Barbuda had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.19%) and 1-3 (6.18%). The likeliest Antigua and Barbuda win was 2-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominican Republic would win this match.
Result
Antigua and Barbuda
28%
▼
(-1.55)
Draw
21.44%
▼
(-0.72)
Dominican Republic
50.56%
▲
(+2.27)
Both Teams to Score:
67.02%
▲
(+1.50)
Goals
Over 2.5
68.05%
▲
(+2.45)
Under 2.5
31.95%
▼
(-2.45)
Over 3.5
46.49%
▲
(+2.81)
Under 3.5
53.51%
▼
(-2.81)
Over 4.5
27.59%
▲
(+2.42)
Under 4.5
72.41%
▼
(-2.42)
Antigua and Barbuda Goals
Over 0.5
77.13%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 0.5
22.87%
▼
(-0.30)
Over 1.5
43.39%
▲
(+0.44)
Under 1.5
56.61%
▼
(-0.44)
Dominican Republic Goals
Over 0.5
86.89%
▲
(+1.62)
Under 0.5
13.11%
▼
(-1.62)
Over 1.5
60.25%
▲
(+3.19)
Under 1.5
39.75%
▼
(-3.19)
Score analysis
Antigua and Barbuda
28%
Draw
21.44%
Dominican Republic
50.56%
Antigua and Barbuda
2-1
@
6.63%
▼
(-0.36)
1-0 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.57)
3-2 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.39)
3-1 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.15)
3-0 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.18)
4-2 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 28%
1-0 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.57)
3-2 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.39)
3-1 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.15)
3-0 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.18)
4-2 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 28%
Draw
1-1
@
8.99%
▼
(-0.57)
2-2 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 3% ▼ (-0.42)
3-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 21.44%
2-2 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 3% ▼ (-0.42)
3-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 21.44%
Dominican Republic
1-2
@
9.13%
▼
(-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.34)
0-1 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.45)
2-3 @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.29)
0-3 @ 4.19% ▲ (+0.20)
1-4 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.35)
2-4 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.27)
0-4 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.22)
1-5 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.21)
3-4 @ 1.14% ▼ (-98.66)
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 50.56%
0-2 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.34)
0-1 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.45)
2-3 @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.29)
0-3 @ 4.19% ▲ (+0.20)
1-4 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.35)
2-4 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.27)
0-4 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.22)
1-5 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.21)
3-4 @ 1.14% ▼ (-98.66)
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 50.56%