Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a British Virgin Islands win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Anguilla had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a British Virgin Islands win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Anguilla win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.