Sirius
2 - 3
Malmo

Girmai (51'), Sylisufaj (53')
Widgren (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Inge Berget (49' pen.), Colak (76', 90+2')
Ahmedhodzic (20'), Rieks (45'), Innocent (51'), Abubakari (53'), Dahlin (54'), Larsson (75'), Colak (90+3')

Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Sirius and Malmo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 58.46%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Sirius had a probability of 20.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.58%) and 0-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Sirius win it was 2-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
Sirius	Draw	Malmo
20.59%	20.95%	58.46%

Both teams to score 59.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.28%

37.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.03%

59.97%

Sirius Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.28%

31.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.86%

68.14%

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.31%

12.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.12%

38.88%

Score Analysis

Sirius 20.59%

Malmo 58.46%

Draw 20.95%

Sirius	Draw	Malmo
2-1 @ 5.48% 1-0 @ 4.62% 2-0 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 2.17% 3-1 @ 2.1% 3-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.56% Total : 20.59%	1-1 @ 9.54% 2-2 @ 5.66% 0-0 @ 4.02% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.24% Total : 20.95%	1-2 @ 9.85% 0-2 @ 8.58% 0-1 @ 8.31% 1-3 @ 6.78% 0-3 @ 5.9% 2-3 @ 3.89% 1-4 @ 3.5% 0-4 @ 3.05% 2-4 @ 2.01% 1-5 @ 1.44% 0-5 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.9% Total : 58.46%