Sirius
2 - 1
Varbergs

Mathisen (45'), Hellborg (75')
Stahl (41')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Karlsson (72')
Lindner (58'), Carlos de Brito (60'), Le Roux (90+2')

Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Sirius and Varbergs BoIS.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.

Result
Sirius	Draw	Varbergs BoIS
41.26%	25.87%	32.87%

Both teams to score 54.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.87%

50.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.9%

72.09%

Sirius Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.95%

24.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.68%

58.32%

Varbergs BoIS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.17%

28.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.31%

64.68%

Score Analysis

Sirius 41.26%

Varbergs BoIS 32.87%

Draw 25.86%

Sirius	Draw	Varbergs BoIS
1-0 @ 9.88% 2-1 @ 8.76% 2-0 @ 7.04% 3-1 @ 4.16% 3-0 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.19% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.9% Total : 41.26%	1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 6.93% 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.86%	0-1 @ 8.62% 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 5.36% 1-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 2.22% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.61% Total : 32.87%