Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 29, 2021 at 5.45pm UK

Petrovsky Stadium

Zenit
4 - 0
Malmo

Claudinho (9'), Kuzyaev (49'), Sutormin (80'), Wendel (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rakip (30'), Brorsson (86')
Ahmedhodzic (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Zenit St Petersburg and Malmo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 59.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Malmo had a probability of 17.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Malmo win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.

Result
Zenit St Petersburg	Draw	Malmo
59.29%	23.18%	17.52%

Both teams to score 46.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.1%

51.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.35%

73.65%

Zenit St Petersburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.81%

17.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.54%

47.46%

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.69%

43.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.45%

79.55%

Score Analysis

Zenit St Petersburg 59.29%

Malmo 17.52%

Draw 23.18%

Zenit St Petersburg	Draw	Malmo
1-0 @ 13.1% 2-0 @ 11.54% 2-1 @ 9.66% 3-0 @ 6.77% 3-1 @ 5.67% 4-0 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.37% 5-0 @ 1.05% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.6% Total : 59.29%	1-1 @ 10.97% 0-0 @ 7.44% 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.73% Total : 23.18%	0-1 @ 6.23% 1-2 @ 4.59% 0-2 @ 2.61% 1-3 @ 1.28% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.69% Total : 17.52%