Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for Djurgardens IF had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Djurgardens IF win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
