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Champions League

Malmo
Champions League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 18, 2021 at 8pm UK
Eleda Stadion (Malmö)
Ludogorets

Malmo
2 - 0
Ludogorets

Birmancevic (26'), Inge Berget (61')
Lewicki (11'), Brorsson (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tekpetey (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Malmo and Ludogorets Razgrad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 54.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 20.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Ludogorets Razgrad win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
MalmoDrawLudogorets Razgrad
54.33%25.54%20.14%
Both teams to score 44.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.74%57.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.89%78.11%
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.87%21.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.02%53.98%
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.59%43.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.37%79.64%
Score Analysis
    Malmo 54.32%
    Ludogorets Razgrad 20.14%
    Draw 25.53%
MalmoDrawLudogorets Razgrad
1-0 @ 14.25%
2-0 @ 11.08%
2-1 @ 9.25%
3-0 @ 5.74%
3-1 @ 4.79%
4-0 @ 2.23%
3-2 @ 2%
4-1 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 54.32%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 9.17%
2-2 @ 3.86%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 7.66%
1-2 @ 4.97%
0-2 @ 3.19%
1-3 @ 1.38%
2-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 20.14%

How you voted: Malmo vs Ludogorets

Malmo
57.7%
Draw
15.8%
Ludogorets Razgrad
26.5%
215