Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 20, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
4 - 0
Malmo

Christensen (9'), Jorginho (21' pen., 57' pen.), Havertz (48')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Nielsen (19'), Christiansen (53'), Larsson (55')

Reaction

Chelsea forward Timo Werner walks off after suffering an injury against Malmo on October 20, 2021.

Chelsea head coach Thomas Tuchel comments on Romelu Lukaku, Timo Werner injuries

Chelsea head coach Thomas Tuchel expects Romelu Lukaku and Timo Werner to miss a number of games through injuries that they sustained against Malmo.

Oct 20, 21:34

Chelsea front duo Timo Werner, Romelu Lukaku both suffer injuries versus Malmo

Chelsea front duo Timo Werner and Romelu Lukaku both suffer injuries during the first half of Wednesday's Champions League fixture with Malmo.

Oct 20, 19:44

Chelsea forward Romelu Lukaku suffers an injury when challenged by Malmo defender Lasse Nielsen on October 20, 2021.

Chelsea forward Romelu Lukaku suffers injury in Champions League fixture

Romelu Lukaku is withdrawn with a calf injury during the first half of Chelsea's Champions League fixture with Malmo.

Oct 20, 19:24

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 56.98%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Malmo had a probability of 17.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Malmo win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Malmo
56.98%	25.38%	17.64%

Both teams to score 41.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.44%

59.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.1%

79.9%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.02%

20.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.26%

53.74%

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.3%

47.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.99%

83.01%

Score Analysis

Chelsea 56.97%

Malmo 17.64%

Draw 25.36%

Chelsea	Draw	Malmo
1-0 @ 15.62% 2-0 @ 12.2% 2-1 @ 9.03% 3-0 @ 6.35% 3-1 @ 4.7% 4-0 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.74% Other @ 3.01% Total : 56.97%	1-1 @ 11.56% 0-0 @ 10% 2-2 @ 3.34% Other @ 0.46% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 7.41% 1-2 @ 4.28% 0-2 @ 2.74% 1-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.15% Total : 17.64%