Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 58.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for AIK Fotboll had a probability of 20.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for an AIK Fotboll win it was 1-2 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
