Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 66.76%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Hacken had a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 3-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.06%), while for a Hacken win it was 1-2 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.