Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 17
Aug 16, 2026 3.30pm
Gamla Ullevi

GAIS vs Malmo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

GAIS

All competitions
Swedish Allsvenskan
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 3.30pm
Halmstad 0 - 2 GAIS
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson

Malmo

All competitions
Swedish Allsvenskan
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 1.00pm
Malmo 1 - 2 Degerfors
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Erik Botheim

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a GAIS win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Malmo has a probability of 27.32% and a draw has a probability of 25.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a GAIS win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Malmo win is 0-1 (7.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.32%).

Result

GAIS 47.19% (-0.02)
Draw 25.46%
Malmo 27.32% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.07% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.55% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 26.45% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 48.78% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 51.22% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 26.51% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 73.49% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 14.35% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 85.65% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

GAIS 32.78% (-0.02)
Draw 43.67% (+0.03)
Malmo 23.56% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

GAIS 53.9% (-0.01)
No Goal 7.18% (+0.02)
Malmo 38.92% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 63.8% (+0.05)
Equal 8 10.22% (-0.02)
Under 8 25.98% (-0.04)
Over 9 52.89% (+0.08)
Equal 9 10.91% (-0.02)
Under 9 36.2% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 42.15% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 57.85% (-0.08)

GAIS Goals

Over 1.5 43.64% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 56.36% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 18.82% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 81.18% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.53% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.47% (+0.02)

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5 62.42% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 37.58% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 28.02% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 71.98% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 9.46% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 90.54% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 2.42%
Under 3.5 97.58%

Score analysis

GAIS 47.18%
Draw 25.46%
Malmo 27.33%
GAIS
1-0 @ 11.48% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.12%
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.25%
3-2 @ 2.49%
Other @ 6.52% (-0.02)
Total : 47.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 7.18% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.01%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.46%
Malmo
0-1 @ 7.76% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.74%
0-2 @ 4.32%
1-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 1.98%
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 27.33%

Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
Apr 12, 2026 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Malmö Stadion
  • Pontus Jansson 21' goal
  • Oscar Sjöstrand 37' goal
  • Otto Rosengren 42' goal
  • Adrian Skogmar 68' yellowcard
  • Johan Karlsson 68' yellowcard
  • Kenan Busuladzic 74' yellowcard
  • Arnór Sigurdsson 74' yellowcard
  • Andrej Djuric 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard August Wängberg 58'
  • yellowcard Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson 58'
  • yellowcard Robin Wendin Thomasson 59'
  • yellowcard S. Ekong 71'
  • yellowcard Blessing Asumang 80'
  • goal S. Ekong 87'
Swedish Allsvenskan
Nov 9, 2025 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Swedish Allsvenskan
Jul 5, 2025 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 24
Sep 18, 2024 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 1 0
FT Gamla Ullevi
  • 9' goal
  • Axel Henriksson 45'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Otto Rosengren 58'
Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 9
May 16, 2024 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Swedbank Stadion
  • Sergio Pena 64' yellowcard
  • Pontus Jansson 84' goal
  • Jens Stryger Larsen 90'+1' yellowcard