Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 16
Aug 9, 2026 1.00pm
Malmö Stadion

Malmo vs Degerfors - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Malmo

All competitions
Swedish Allsvenskan
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 1.00pm
Brommapojkarna 1 - 2 Malmo
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Erik Botheim

Degerfors

All competitions
Swedish Allsvenskan
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 1.00pm
Goteborg 2 - 0 Degerfors
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Marcus Rafferty

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Malmo win with a probability of 54.29%. A win for Degerfors has a probability of 22.97% and a draw has a probability of 22.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Degerfors win is 1-2 (6.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.86%).

Result

Malmo 54.29% (+0.09)
Draw 22.71% (+0.02)
Degerfors 22.97% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.47% (-0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.75% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 17.25% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 62.32% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 37.68% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 39.65% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 60.35% (+0.22)
Over 4.5 24.66% (-0.20)
Under 4.5 75.34% (+0.19)

First Half Winner

Malmo 43.82% (-0.01)
Draw 36.96% (-0.01)
Degerfors 19.22% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Malmo 64.33% (+0.02)
No Goal 4.47% (+0.02)
Degerfors 31.2% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 67.48% (+0.02)
Equal 8 10.52%
Under 8 22% (-0.02)
Over 9 55.88% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.61%
Under 9 32.52% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 44.21% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 55.79% (-0.01)

Malmo Goals

Over 1.5 56.96%
Under 1.5 43.04%
Over 2.5 30.44% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 69.56% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 13.44% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 86.56% (+0.04)

Degerfors Goals

Over 0.5 61.5% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 38.5% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 30.56% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 69.44% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 11.43% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 88.57% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 3.62% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 96.38% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Malmo 54.31%
Draw 22.7%
Degerfors 22.97%
Malmo
2-1 @ 10.13% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 8.19% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 7.65% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 6.38% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.11% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.79% (-0.03)
Other @ 13.06% (-0.03)
Total : 54.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.86% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.47% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.7%
Degerfors
1-2 @ 6.16%
0-1 @ 4.57% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.91% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.24% (-0.09)
Total : 22.97%

Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 11
Jul 4, 2026 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stora Valla
  • Olle Leonardsson 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kenan Busuladzic 22'
  • yellowcard Otto Rosengren 40'
  • goal Erik Botheim 52'
Swedish Allsvenskan
Aug 31, 2025 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 8
May 11, 2025 3.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT Stora Valla
  • Marcus Rafferty 53' goal
  • Mamadouba Diaby 55' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Ohlsson 86' yellowcard
  • Teo Gronborg 88' yellowcard
  • Teo Gronborg 88' yellowcard
  • goal Lasse Berg Johnsen 7'
  • goal Emmanuel Ekong 28'
  • goal Colin Rosler 49'
  • yellowcard Colin Rosler 51'
  • yellowcard Hugo Bolin 78'
  • goal Anders Christiansen 90'+1'
Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 24
Sep 23, 2023 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stora Valla
  • Diego Campos 79' goal
  • goal Stefano Vecchia 42'
  • goal Sergio Pena 60'
  • yellowcard Derek Cornelius 65'
  • yellowcard Oscar Lewicki 77'
Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 11
Jun 5, 2023 6.10pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Eleda Stadion (Malmo)
  • Hugo Larsson 17' goal
  • Sebastian Nanasi 45'+9' goal
  • Sebastian Nanasi 62' goal
  • Stefano Vecchia 68' goal
  • Gabriel Busanello 75' goal
Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 30
Nov 6, 2022 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Hugo Larsson 18' goal
  • Isaac Kiese Thelin 61' goal
  • goal Omar Faraj 37'
  • goal Rasmus Orqvist 64'