Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 14
Jul 26, 2026 3.30pm
Malmö Stadion

Malmo vs Elfsborg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Malmo

All competitions
Swedish Allsvenskan
Last game
Jul 20, 2026 6.00pm
Kalmar 2 - 2 Malmo
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Erik Botheim

Elfsborg

All competitions
Swedish Allsvenskan
Last game
Jul 19, 2026 3.30pm
Elfsborg 1 - 3 Sirius
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Leo Östman

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Malmo win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for Elfsborg has a probability of 26.37% and a draw has a probability of 24.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Elfsborg win is 1-2 (6.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.39%).

Result

Malmo 49.17% (+0.04)
Draw 24.49% (-0.02)
Elfsborg 26.37% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.39% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.58% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 22.42% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 54.29% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 45.71% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 32.12%
Under 3.5 67.89% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 18.4% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 81.6% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Malmo 38.15% (+0.01)
Draw 40.82% (-0.01)
Elfsborg 21.03%

Team To Score First

Malmo 57.87% (+0.03)
No Goal 5.89%
Elfsborg 36.24% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 67.15%
Equal 8 10.78%
Under 8 22.07%
Over 9 55.23%
Equal 9 11.92%
Under 9 32.85%
Over 10.5 43.27%
Under 10.5 56.73%

Malmo Goals

Over 1.5 48.63% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 51.37% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 23.09% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 76.91% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 8.9% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.1% (-0.02)

Elfsborg Goals

Over 0.5 62.97% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 37.03% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 30.18%
Under 1.5 69.82%
Over 2.5 10.55% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 89.45% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.99% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.01% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Malmo 49.17%
Draw 24.48%
Elfsborg 26.38%
Malmo
1-0 @ 9.98%
2-1 @ 9.46% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.01% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.42% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 8.76% (+0.02)
Total : 49.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.39% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.89%
2-2 @ 5.83%
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.14% (-0.01)
Total : 24.48%
Elfsborg
1-2 @ 6.72% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.58% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.9% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 2.24%
0-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 26.38%

Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
Sep 14, 2025 3.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 2
Apr 7, 2025 6.10pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Malmo Stadion
  • Erik Botheim 1' yellowcard
  • Hugo Bolin 3' yellowcard
  • Anders Christiansen 47' goal
  • Pontus Jansson 76' yellowcard
  • Arnor Sigurdsson 78' goal
  • goal Simon Hedlund 71'
  • yellowcard Simon Hedlund 89'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Holmen 90'+1'
Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 17
May 28, 2024 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Swedbank Stadion
  • Erik Botheim 21' yellowcard
  • Sergio Pena 26' yellowcard
  • Hugo Bolin 40' goal
  • Isaac Kiese Thelin 57' goal
  • I. Kiese Thelin 63' yellowcard
  • Johan Larsson 75' yellowcard
  • goal Arber Zeneli 9'
  • yellowcard Rami Kaib 50'
  • yellowcard Camil Jebara 82'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Busanello 90'+5'
Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 7
May 5, 2024 1.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Boras Arena
  • Jalal Abdulai 25' yellowcard
  • Arber Zeneli 34' goal
  • Simon Hedlund 63' goal
  • Timothy Ouma 72' yellowcard
  • Martin Olsson 74' goal
  • Johan Larsson 79' yellowcard
  • Niklas Hult 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Otto Rosengren 51'
  • goal Sebastian Jorgensen 80'
  • yellowcard Anders Christiansen 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Soren Rieks 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Anton Tinnerholm 90'+5'
Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 30
Nov 12, 2023 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Swedbank Stadion
  • Soren Rieks 21' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Busanello 28' yellowcard
  • Pontus Jansson 43' yellowcard
  • Lasse Berg Johnsen 51' yellowcard
  • Isaac Kiese Thelin 57' goal
  • Sergio Pena 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Per Frick 28'
  • yellowcard Michael Baidoo 73'
Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 10
May 28, 2023 4.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Borås Arena
  • Sveinn Aron Gudjohnsen 32' goal
  • Gustaf Lagerbielke 36' goal
  • Jeppe Okkels 54' goal