Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.

Result
Elfsborg	Draw	Hammarby
36.93% ( 0.13)	25.12% ( -0.02)	37.95% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 57.34% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.8% (

0.11)

46.19% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.51% (

0.1)

68.49% (

-0.11)

Elfsborg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.45% (

0.12)

24.55% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.97% (

0.17)

59.02% (

-0.17)

Hammarby Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.99% (

-0.01)

24% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.74% (

-0.01)

58.25% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Elfsborg 36.93%

Hammarby 37.95%

Draw 25.11%

Elfsborg	Draw	Hammarby
2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 36.93%	1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.11%	1-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 37.95%