Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.