Hammarby
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 9
May 14, 2025 at 6pm UK
Tele2 Arena

Hammarby
3 - 2
Sirius

Eriksson (11'), Besara (55'), Saidi (71')
W (20')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Milleskog (5'), Ure (68')
Mamatsashvili (67'), Ure (71')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Hammarby and Sirius.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hammarby 1-1 Norrkoping
Sunday, May 11 at 1pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Sirius 2-0 Hacken
Saturday, May 10 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 67.63%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Sirius had a probability of 14.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Sirius win it was 1-2 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.

Result
HammarbyDrawSirius
67.63% (0.42800000000001 0.43)18.32% (-0.191 -0.19)14.05% (-0.234 -0.23)
Both teams to score 54.93% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.75% (0.386 0.39)37.25% (-0.382 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.54% (0.41399999999999 0.41)59.46% (-0.41 -0.41)
Hammarby Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.88% (0.214 0.21)10.11% (-0.209 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.71% (0.48399999999999 0.48)33.28% (-0.48 -0.48)
Sirius Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.11% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)38.89% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.38% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)75.62% (0.078999999999994 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Hammarby 67.62%
    Sirius 14.05%
    Draw 18.32%
HammarbyDrawSirius
2-0 @ 10.32%
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-0 @ 9.01% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 7.89% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 7.45% (0.048 0.05)
4-0 @ 4.52% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
4-1 @ 4.27% (0.065 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.015 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.07% (0.054 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.02% (0.027 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.96% (0.047 0.05)
5-2 @ 0.92% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 67.62%
1-1 @ 8.51% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.93% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.32%
1-2 @ 4.02% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-1 @ 3.71% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-2 @ 1.75% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.27% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 14.05%

How you voted: Hammarby vs Sirius

Hammarby
100%
Draw
0.0%
Sirius
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 28
Sirius
0-3
Hammarby

Lindberg (22')
Toure (19', 37'), Tekie (71')
May 26, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 11
Hammarby
3-0
Sirius
Toure (44'), Tekie (57'), Dukanovic (90')
Pinas (17'), Tekie (54')

Castegren (89')
Oct 30, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 28
Hammarby
2-2
Sirius
Besara (40'), Dukanovic (60')
Kurtulus (11'), Gul (23')
Alsanti (90+2'), Castegren (90+5')
Voelkerling-Persson (90+5'), Mattiasson (90')
Jul 9, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 14
Sirius
1-2
Hammarby
Matthews (41')
Erabi (37'), Hammar (74')
Oct 20, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 27
Hammarby
1-1
Sirius
Nilsson (58')
Stensson (75')