Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 67.63%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Sirius had a probability of 14.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Sirius win it was 1-2 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.