Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 53.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for GAIS had a probability of 22.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a GAIS win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.