Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for Djurgardens IF had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Djurgardens IF win was 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.