AFC Champions League Gameweek 2
Oct 12, 2026 7.15pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Al-Awwal Park
  • Ângelo 33' goal
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 42' goal
  • Iñigo Martínez 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Anvar Gofurov 78' goal
  • yellowcard Ibrokhimkhalil Yuldoshev 17'
  • yellowcard Anvar Gofurov 30'
  • yellowcard Marcus Forss 45'+3'
  • goal Alisher Odilov 51'
  • redcard Ikram Alibaev 65'

Al-Nassr vs Neftchi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Nassr

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Sep 15, 2026 5.00pm
Al-Ain 0 - 0 Al-Nassr

Neftchi

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Sep 14, 2026 2.45pm
Neftchi 1 - 0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.29% and a win for Neftchi had a probability of 19.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Nassr win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.14%) and 2-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%) , while for a Neftchi win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

Al-Nassr 59.66% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 21.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Neftchi 19.05%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.1% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.33% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 20.67% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 56.56% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 2.5 43.44% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 3.5 34.79% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 65.21% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 4.5 21.74% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 4.5 78.26% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Al-Nassr 43.05%
Draw 37.86%
Neftchi 19.09%

Team To Score First

Al-Nassr 65.7% ▲ (+0.05)
No Goal 5.07% ▼ (-0.03)
Neftchi 29.23% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.24%
Equal 8 10.94%
Under 8 28.82%
Over 9 48.89%
Equal 9 11.34%
Under 9 39.76%
Over 10.5 38.07%
Under 10.5 61.93%

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 1.5 56.95% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 43.05% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 30.53% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 69.47% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 13.22% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 86.78% ▼ (-0.04)

Neftchi Goals

Over 0.5 55.45% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 44.55% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 23.59% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 76.41% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 7.55% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 92.45% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 2.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.86% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Al-Nassr 59.67%
Draw 21.28%
Neftchi 19.07%
Al-Nassr
1-0 @ 10.44% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 10.14% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.8% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.37%
3-0 @ 6.14%
3-2 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 13.12% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 59.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.17% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 21.28%
Neftchi
0-1 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 19.07%