May 10, 2025 3.00pm

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT Excelsior Stadium

Lewis Strapp 27'
Alex Bannon 38'
Ben Wilson 52'

Matt Yates 58'
Ross Meechan 65'
Darren Jamieson 72'
Matt Yates 73'
Scott Tomlinson 90'+1'

Airdrieonians vs Stenhousemuir - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Airdrieonians

All competitions

W
L
D
L
D
W

Scottish Championship Playoffs

W
W
D

Last game

May 6, 2025 7.45pm

Stenhousemuir 1 - 3 Airdrieonians

Stenhousemuir

All competitions

L
W
L
D
L
L

Scottish Championship Playoffs

L

Last game

May 6, 2025 7.45pm

Stenhousemuir 1 - 3 Airdrieonians

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.

Result

Airdrieonians 37.93% ▲ (+0.02)

Draw 25.71%

Stenhousemuir 36.36% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score:

55.23% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.1% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 2.5 48.9% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 3.5 29.01% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 3.5 70.99% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 4.5 13.99% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 4.5 86.01% ▼ (-0.01)

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 0.5 74.75% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 0.5 25.25% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 1.5 40% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 60% ▼ (-0.02)

Stenhousemuir Goals

Over 0.5 73.88% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 0.5 26.12% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 1.5 38.82%

Under 1.5 61.18% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Airdrieonians 37.93%

Draw 25.71%

Stenhousemuir 36.36%

Airdrieonians

1-0 @ 9.08%

2-1 @ 8.39% ▲ (+0.01)

2-0 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.01)

3-1 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.01)

3-0 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.01)

3-2 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.01)

4-1 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 3.59%

Total : 37.93%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.18%

0-0 @ 6.59% ▼ (-0.01)

2-2 @ 5.63% ▲ (+0.01)

3-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 0.15%

Total : 25.71%

Stenhousemuir

0-1 @ 8.85% ▼ (-0.01)

1-2 @ 8.18% ▼ (-0.01)

0-2 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.01)

1-3 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.01)

0-3 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.01)

2-3 @ 2.52%

1-4 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 3.32%

Total : 36.36%

Head to Head

May 6, 2025 7.45pm

1

3

HT : 0 2

FT Ochilview Park

Gregor Buchanan 20'
Matthew Aitken 73'
Matthew Aitken 89'

Lewis McGrattan 21'
Lewis McGrattan 29'
Chris Mochrie 51'
Ben Wilson 52'
Lewis Strapp 88'

Oct 13, 2020 7.30pm

0

2

HT : 0 0

FT Ochilview Park

Creag Little 87'

Paul McKay 47'
Craig Thomson 87'

Apr 13, 2019 5.15pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT Excelsior Stadium (Airdrie)

Scott Robertson 85'

Mark McGuigan 5'
Andy Munro 70'

Jan 26, 2019 3.00pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Ochilview Park (Stenhousemuir)

Ruaridh Donaldson 61'
Thomas Halleran 74'

David Hutton 56'
Dale Carrick 64'

Oct 27, 2018 3.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT Excelsior Stadium (Airdrie)

Sean Crighton 90'

Harry Paton 76'
Sean Dickson 80'
Morgyn Neill 85'
Mark McGuigan 86'

Aug 18, 2018 3.00pm

1

2

HT : 1 1

FT Ochilview Park (Stenhousemuir)

Sean Crighton 45'
Morgyn Neill 90'

Scott Robertson 13'
Ryan Conroy 42'
Ryan Conroy 56'

Form Data

Stenhousemuir 1 - 3 Airdrieonians

Airdrieonians 0 - 1 Ayr

Dunfermline 0 - 0 Airdrieonians

Airdrieonians 0 - 1 Morton

Raith Rovers 1 - 1 Airdrieonians

Airdrieonians 2 - 1 Partick

Stenhousemuir 1 - 3 Airdrieonians

Stenhousemuir 2 - 1 Dumbarton

QotS 2 - 0 Stenhousemuir

Stenhousemuir 1 - 1 Inverness

Arbroath 4 - 0 Stenhousemuir

Stenhousemuir 1 - 4 Alloa