AFC Champions League Gameweek 4
Nov 4, 2026 12.15pm
Chang Arena

Buriram United vs Kashima Antlers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Buriram United

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Sep 15, 2026 1.15pm
Johor Darul 1 - 0 Buriram Utd

Kashima Antlers

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Sep 15, 2026 11.00am
Kashima Antlers 7 - 1 Newcastle Jets

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Buriram United win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Kashima Antlers has a probability of 36.04% and a draw has a probability of 23.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buriram United win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Kashima Antlers win is 1-2 (7.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.51%).

Result

Buriram United 40.07% ▼ (-0.40)
Draw 23.89%
Kashima Antlers 36.04% ▲ (+0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.39% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.32% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 1.5 19.68% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 2.5 58.87% ▼ (-0.64)
Under 2.5 41.13% ▲ (+0.64)
Over 3.5 36.53% ▼ (-0.37)
Under 3.5 63.47% ▲ (+0.37)
Over 4.5 22.47% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 4.5 77.53% ▲ (+0.44)

First Half Winner

Buriram United 33.42% ▼ (-1.29)
Draw 40.22% ▲ (+0.04)
Kashima Antlers 26.35% ▲ (+1.25)

Team To Score First

Buriram United 51.21% ▼ (-1.61)
No Goal 5.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Kashima Antlers 43.73% ▲ (+1.62)

Corners

Over 8 55.95% ▲ (+2.86)
Equal 8 10.94% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 8 33.12% ▼ (-3.07)
Over 9 44.95% ▲ (+2.43)
Equal 9 11% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 9 44.05% ▼ (-2.86)
Over 10.5 34.74% ▲ (+1.86)
Under 10.5 65.26% ▼ (-1.85)

Buriram United Goals

Over 1.5 44% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 1.5 56% ▲ (+0.44)
Over 2.5 20.39% ▼ (-0.86)
Under 2.5 79.61% ▲ (+0.86)
Over 3.5 8.33% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 3.5 91.67% ▲ (+0.36)

Kashima Antlers Goals

Over 0.5 70.61% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 0.5 29.39% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 1.5 40.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 59.57% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 17.97% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 82.03% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 6.54% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 93.46% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Buriram United 40.07%
Draw 23.89%
Kashima Antlers 36.04%
Buriram United
2-1 @ 8.55% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 7.52% ▲ (+0.21)
2-0 @ 5.67% ▲ (+0.19)
3-1 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.23)
3-2 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 7.95% ▼ (-0.39)
Total : 40.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.51% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 6.26% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.38% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 23.89%
Kashima Antlers
1-2 @ 7.76% ▲ (+0.10)
0-1 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 5.27% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.22)
0-3 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 36.04%