Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 5
Oct 12, 2026 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Hietalahden jalkapallostadion
  • Xavier Odhiambo 36' goal
  • yellowcard Noah Rossi 87'

Vaasan Palloseura vs Gnistan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vaasan Palloseura

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Oct 8, 2026 4.00pm
HJK Helsinki 6 - 0 VPS
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Simon Lindholm

Gnistan

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Oct 7, 2026 5.00pm
Gnistan 0 - 0 Inter Turku
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Adeleke Akinyemi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 1-2 (7.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result

Vaasan Palloseura 44.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 24.7%
Gnistan 30.78%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.53%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.58% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 22.42% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 54.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 45.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 32.11%
Under 3.5 67.89%
Over 4.5 18.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 81.46% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Vaasan Palloseura 36.8% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 38.85% ▼ (-0.01)
Gnistan 24.35% ▼ (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Vaasan Palloseura 53% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 5.89%
Gnistan 41.11% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 66.2%
Equal 8 10.64%
Under 8 23.16%
Over 9 54.57%
Equal 9 11.63%
Under 9 33.8%
Over 10.5 42.98% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 10.5 57.02% ▼ (-0.01)

Vaasan Palloseura Goals

Over 1.5 45.17% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 54.83% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 20.26% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 79.74% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.53% ▼ (-0.02)

Gnistan Goals

Over 0.5 66.95% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 33.05% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 34.02% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 65.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 13.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 86.92% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.96%
Under 3.5 96.04%

Score analysis

Vaasan Palloseura 44.53%
Draw 24.7%
Gnistan 30.77%
Vaasan Palloseura
2-1 @ 9.58% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.35% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.87% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.6%
3-2 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 7.34% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 44.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.52%
0-0 @ 5.89%
2-2 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.7%
Gnistan
1-2 @ 7.6%
0-1 @ 7.18%
0-2 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 30.77%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 13
Jun 27, 2026 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Danny Pérez 20' goal
  • S. Ylätupa 81' yellowcard
  • goal Luka Smyth 36'
  • yellowcard Paulo Lima 85'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 6
May 9, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Hietalahden jalkapallostadion
  • Luka Smyth 7' yellowcard
  • Joonas Vahtera 68' yellowcard
  • Miika Niemi 78' yellowcard
  • Olavi Keturi 78' yellowcard
  • Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard J. Ojala 43'
  • yellowcard Danny Pérez 46'
  • goal Adeleke Akinyemi 63'
  • yellowcard V. Hänninen 74'
  • yellowcard A. Jouhi 84'
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Aug 15, 2025 4.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 11
Jun 18, 2025 7.00pm
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Oct 23, 2024 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Hietalahden jalkapallostadion
  • Mikko Pitkanen 38' redcard
  • Martti Haukioja 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jukka Raitala 38'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Onni Vilho Europaeus 71'
  • goal Teemu Penninkangas 78'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Tatar 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Roope Pyyskanen 90'+4'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 18
Aug 4, 2024 4.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Bolt Arena
  • Vertti Hanninen 18' goal
  • Tim Vayrynen 31' goal
  • Jonas Enkerud 69' goal
  • Oliver Pettersson 73' yellowcard
  • Teemu Penninkangas 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Martti Haukioja 30'
  • yellowcard Pedro Justiniano 41'