Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 6
Oct 17, 2026 2.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bolt Arena
  • Mads Borchers 50' goal
  • Santeri Haarala 60' goal
  • Mads Borchers 66' goal
  • Mads Borchers 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard G. Europaeus 12'
  • yellowcard A. Atarah 30'
  • yellowcard Sergey Eremenko 47'
  • redcard E. Arko-Mensah 53'

HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Oct 12, 2026 5.00pm
Oulu 3 - 4 HJK Helsinki
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Mads Borchers

Gnistan

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Oct 12, 2026 4.00pm
VPS 1 - 0 Gnistan
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Adeleke Akinyemi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 66.54%. A draw had a probability of 18.88% and a win for Gnistan had a probability of 14.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%) , while for a Gnistan win it was 1-2 (4.32%).

Result

HJK Helsinki 66.54% ▲ (+1.00)
Draw 18.88% ▼ (-0.32)
Gnistan 14.57% ▼ (-0.69)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.92% ▲ (+0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.38% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 17.62% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 61.66% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 2.5 38.29% ▼ (-0.42)
Over 3.5 38.44% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 3.5 61.56% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 4.5 25.63% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 4.5 74.37% ▼ (-0.19)

First Half Winner

HJK Helsinki 50.55% ▲ (+1.58)
Draw 33.75% ▼ (-0.79)
Gnistan 15.7% ▼ (-0.79)

Team To Score First

HJK Helsinki 68.73% ▲ (+1.11)
No Goal 4.03% ▼ (-0.09)
Gnistan 27.24% ▼ (-1.03)

Corners

Over 8 60.83% ▼ (-1.13)
Equal 8 10.98% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 8 28.19% ▲ (+1.36)
Over 9 49.38% ▼ (-0.75)
Equal 9 11.45% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 9 39.17% ▲ (+1.13)
Over 10.5 38.41% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 10.5 61.59% ▲ (+0.34)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 1.5 63.83% ▲ (+0.68)
Under 1.5 36.17% ▼ (-0.68)
Over 2.5 37.42% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 2.5 62.58% ▼ (-0.61)
Over 3.5 17.95% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 82.05% ▼ (-0.18)

Gnistan Goals

Over 0.5 50.53% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 0.5 49.47% ▲ (+0.41)
Over 1.5 20.39% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 1.5 79.61% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 2.5 5.8% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 2.5 94.2% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 3.5 1.43% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.57% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

HJK Helsinki 66.55%
Draw 18.89%
Gnistan 14.57%
HJK Helsinki
2-1 @ 10.44% ▲ (+0.23)
1-0 @ 9.86% ▲ (+0.17)
2-0 @ 9.84% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.81% ▲ (+0.15)
3-1 @ 6.82% ▲ (+0.21)
3-2 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 17.94% ▲ (+0.18)
Total : 66.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.14% ▼ (-0.17)
2-2 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 18.89%
Gnistan
1-2 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.17)
0-1 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.16)
0-2 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.15)
2-3 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.10)
1-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 14.57%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 3
Sep 18, 2026 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Ayo Obileye 22' goal
  • Launiala Kosmo 84' yellowcard
  • Jussi Leppälahti 84' yellowcard
  • goal Pyry Mentu 24'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 21
Aug 23, 2026 1.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT Bolt Arena
  • Santeri Haarala 23' goal
  • Ville Tikkanen 45'+3' goal
  • Alexander Ring  55' yellowcard
  • Kaius Simojoki 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bogdan Milovanov 67'
  • goal Adeleke Akinyemi 68'
  • yellowcard E. Arko-Mensah 78'
  • goal Adeleke Akinyemi 83'
  • goal Danny Pérez 89'
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Apr 18, 2026 12.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Otto Hannula 59' yellowcard
  • Max Herman Bjurstrom 60' yellowcard
  • S. Ylätupa 60' yellowcard
  • A. Jouhi 60' yellowcard
  • 72' yellowcard
  • 75' yellowcard
  • 75' yellowcard
  • J. Latonen 75' yellowcard
  • Danny Pérez 75' yellowcard
  • V. Hänninen 87' yellowcard
  • goal Teemu Pukki 44'
  • goal Teemu Pukki 52'
  • yellowcard Toivo Mero 61'
  • yellowcard Mads Borchers 61'
  • yellowcard Teemu Pukki 61'
  • yellowcard 61'
  • yellowcard Jere Kallinen 72'
  • goal M. Bogićević 79'
  • yellowcard 83'
  • yellowcard L. Möller 83'
  • yellowcard Kaius Simojoki 84'
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Nov 3, 2025 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Oct 3, 2025 5.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 17
Jul 28, 2025 5.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 0
FT