2.Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Sep 12, 2026 7.30pm
Millerntor-Stadion

St Pauli vs Wolfsburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Sep 4, 2026 5.30pm
Arminia Bielefeld 2 - 2 St Pauli
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Abdoulie Ceesay 

Wolfsburg

All competitions
2.Bundesliga
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 12.00pm
Wolfsburg 3 - 3 Energie Cottbus
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Fabian Reese

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for St Pauli has a probability of 32.38% and a draw has a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest St Pauli win is 2-1 (7.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.67%).

Result

St Pauli 32.38% (+0.33)
Draw 24.7% (-0.11)
Wolfsburg 42.96% (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.39% (+0.47)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.76% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 21.24% (-0.33)
Over 2.5 57.17% (+0.45)
Under 2.5 42.83% (-0.45)
Over 3.5 35.22% (+0.30)
Under 3.5 64.78% (-0.30)
Over 4.5 21.13% (+0.24)
Under 4.5 78.87% (-0.24)

First Half Winner

St Pauli 29.38% (-0.05)
Draw 37.56% (+0.11)
Wolfsburg 33.06% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

St Pauli 47.12%
No Goal 6.06% (-0.13)
Wolfsburg 46.82% (+0.12)

Corners

Over 8 74.21% (-0.06)
Equal 8 8.3% (-0.01)
Under 8 17.49% (+0.06)
Over 9 64.56% (-0.04)
Equal 9 9.64% (-0.02)
Under 9 25.79% (+0.06)
Over 10.5 54.22% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 45.78% (+0.03)

St Pauli Goals

Over 1.5 36.4% (+0.48)
Under 1.5 63.6% (-0.48)
Over 2.5 15.16% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 84.84% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 5.17% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 94.83% (-0.08)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5 75.04% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 24.96% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 45.44% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 54.56% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 21.66% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 78.34% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 9.01% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 90.99% (-0.05)

Score analysis

St Pauli 32.38%
Draw 24.7%
Wolfsburg 42.95%
St Pauli
2-1 @ 7.34% (+0.10)
1-0 @ 7.06% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 4.55% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.44% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.67% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.43% (+0.07)
Other @ 4.89% (+0.09)
Total : 32.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.67% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.24% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 6.06% (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.45% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.28% (-0.01)
Total : 24.7%
Wolfsburg
1-2 @ 8.5% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 8.15% (-0.20)
0-2 @ 6.37% (-0.15)
1-3 @ 4.4% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.69% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.11% (+0.09)
Other @ 8.73% (+0.06)
Total : 42.95%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
May 16, 2026 2.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • Abdoulie Ceesay 46' yellowcard
  • Abdoulie Ceesay 57' goal
  • Ricky-Jade Jones 77' yellowcard
  • Taichi Hara 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Mathias Rasmussen 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Taichi Hara 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Mathias Rasmussen 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Konstantinos Koulierakis 37'
  • goal Nikola Vasilj 64' (OG)
  • yellowcard Yannick Gerhardt 67'
  • yellowcard Christian Eriksen 77'
  • goal Dzenan Pejcinovic 80'
  • yellowcard Kento Shiogai 88'
  • yellowcard Lovro Majer 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Amoura 90'+4'
Bundesliga Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2026 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Volkswagen Arena
  • Christian Eriksen 25' yellowcard
  • Mohamed El Amine Amoura 61' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Amoura 61' yellowcard
  • Adam Daghim 73' yellowcard
  • Kilian Fischer 73' yellowcard
  • Kevin Paredes 83' yellowcard
  • Mattias Svanberg 83' yellowcard
  • Dzenan Pejcinovic 88' goal
  • goal Eric Smith 40'
  • yellowcard Louis Oppie 68'
  • yellowcard Martijn Kaars 68'
  • yellowcard Abdoulie Ceesay 90'
Bundesliga Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2025 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
  • Mohamed El Amine Amoura 46' yellowcard
  • Mohamed El Amine Amoura 70' goal
  • goal Siebe Van der Heyden 38'
Bundesliga Gameweek 8
Oct 26, 2024 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • yellowcard Jakub Kaminski 76'
  • yellowcard Joakim Maehle 82'
  • yellowcard Lovro Majer 90'