2.Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Sep 12, 2026 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • Lars Ritzka 4' yellowcard
  • Abdoulie Ceesay  32' yellowcard
  • Joel Chima Fujita 88' goal
  • yellowcard Cleiton 12'
  • yellowcard Tobias Strobl 78'
  • yellowcard Joakim Maehle 85'

St Pauli vs Wolfsburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Sep 4, 2026 5.30pm
Arminia Bielefeld 2 - 2 St Pauli
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Taichi Hara

Wolfsburg

All competitions
2.Bundesliga
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 12.00pm
Wolfsburg 4 - 4 Energie Cottbus
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Fabian Reese

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 2-1 (7.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result

St Pauli 32.52% ▲ (+0.15)
Draw 24.75% ▲ (+0.06)
Wolfsburg 42.74% ▼ (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.46% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.71% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 21.29% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 57.15% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 42.82% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 35.17% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 64.83% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 21.08% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 78.92% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

St Pauli 29.38%
Draw 37.56%
Wolfsburg 33.06%

Team To Score First

St Pauli 47.11% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 6.08% ▲ (+0.03)
Wolfsburg 46.81% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 74.08% ▼ (-0.13)
Equal 8 8.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 17.6% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 9 64.43% ▼ (-0.13)
Equal 9 9.65% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 25.92% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 10.5 54.09% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 10.5 45.91% ▲ (+0.13)

St Pauli Goals

Over 1.5 36.51% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 63.49% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 15.21% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 84.79% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 5.19% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.81% ▼ (-0.02)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5 74.9% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 0.5 25.1% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 1.5 45.29% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 54.71% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 21.54% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 2.5 78.46% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 3.5 8.95% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 91.05% ▲ (+0.07)

Score analysis

St Pauli 32.51%
Draw 24.74%
Wolfsburg 42.75%
St Pauli
2-1 @ 7.37% ▲ (+0.04)
1-0 @ 7.09% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.67%
3-0 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 32.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.67%
2-2 @ 6.26% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.08% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 24.74%
Wolfsburg
1-2 @ 8.5%
0-1 @ 8.12% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 4.38% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 8.67% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 42.75%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
May 16, 2026 2.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • Abdoulie Ceesay 46' yellowcard
  • Abdoulie Ceesay 57' goal
  • Ricky-Jade Jones 77' yellowcard
  • Taichi Hara 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Mathias Rasmussen 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Taichi Hara 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Mathias Rasmussen 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Konstantinos Koulierakis 37'
  • goal Nikola Vasilj 64' (OG)
  • yellowcard Yannick Gerhardt 67'
  • yellowcard Christian Eriksen 77'
  • goal Dzenan Pejcinovic 80'
  • yellowcard Kento Shiogai 88'
  • yellowcard Lovro Majer 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Amoura 90'+4'
Bundesliga Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2026 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Volkswagen Arena
  • Christian Eriksen 25' yellowcard
  • Mohamed El Amine Amoura 61' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Amoura 61' yellowcard
  • Adam Daghim 73' yellowcard
  • Kilian Fischer 73' yellowcard
  • Kevin Paredes 83' yellowcard
  • Mattias Svanberg 83' yellowcard
  • Dzenan Pejcinovic 88' goal
  • goal Eric Smith 40'
  • yellowcard Louis Oppie 68'
  • yellowcard Martijn Kaars 68'
  • yellowcard Abdoulie Ceesay 90'
Bundesliga Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2025 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
  • Mohamed El Amine Amoura 46' yellowcard
  • Mohamed El Amine Amoura 70' goal
  • goal Siebe Van der Heyden 38'
Bundesliga Gameweek 8
Oct 26, 2024 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • yellowcard Jakub Kaminski 76'
  • yellowcard Joakim Maehle 82'
  • yellowcard Lovro Majer 90'