2.Bundesliga Gameweek 8
Oct 17, 2026 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Heinz von Heiden Arena
  • Husseyn Chakroun 8' yellowcard
  • Stefán Teitur Thórdarson 17' yellowcard
  • Husseyn Chakroun 48' goal
  • goal Abdoulie Ceesay 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Joel Chima Fujita 90'+2'

Hannover vs St Pauli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hannover

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 12.00pm
Magdeburg 3 - 0 Hannover
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Lars Gindorf

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 12.30pm
St Pauli 2 - 0 Karlsruher
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Martijn Kaars

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hannover win with a probability of 51.03%. A draw had a probability of 25.15% and a win for St Pauli had a probability of 23.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hannover win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%) , while for a St Pauli win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result

Hannover 51.03% ▼ (-0.22)
Draw 25.15% ▲ (+0.17)
St Pauli 23.81% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.57% ▲ (+0.19)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.59% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 26.41% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 50.26% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 49.74% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 3.5 29.73% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 3.5 70.27% ▼ (-0.42)
Over 4.5 17.78% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 4.5 82.22% ▼ (-0.30)

First Half Winner

Hannover 44.53% ▲ (+0.29)
Draw 35.7% ▼ (-0.04)
St Pauli 19.76% ▼ (-0.27)

Team To Score First

Hannover 61.79% ▲ (+0.52)
No Goal 7.94% ▲ (+0.06)
St Pauli 30.27% ▼ (-0.58)

Corners

Over 8 62.62% ▼ (-6.62)
Equal 8 10.2% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 8 27.17% ▲ (+6.23)
Over 9 51.84% ▼ (-6.43)
Equal 9 10.79% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 9 37.38% ▲ (+6.63)
Over 10.5 41.3% ▼ (-5.75)
Under 10.5 58.7% ▲ (+5.75)

Hannover Goals

Over 1.5 47.77% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 52.23% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 2.5 23.47% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 2.5 76.53% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 9.64% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 90.36% ▼ (-0.18)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 58.28% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 41.72% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 25.51% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 74.49% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 8.37% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 2.5 91.63% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 3.5 2.34% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 3.5 97.66% ▼ (-0.13)

Score analysis

Hannover 51.04%
Draw 25.15%
St Pauli 23.8%
Hannover
1-0 @ 11.07% ▼ (-0.08)
2-1 @ 9.18% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.48% ▼ (-0.11)
3-1 @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.69% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 9.53% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 51.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.19% ▼ (-0.12)
0-0 @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.86% ▲ (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.11% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 25.15%
St Pauli
0-1 @ 7.39% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 3.67%
1-3 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 23.8%

Head to Head

2.Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Apr 21, 2024 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT HDI-Arena
  • Lars Gindorf 45' goal
  • goal Oladapo Afolayan 41'
  • yellowcard Oladapo Afolayan 59'
  • goal Johannes Eggestein 65'
  • yellowcard Jackson Irvine 77'
  • yellowcard Etienne Amenyido 90'+3'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Nov 10, 2023 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • Elias Saad 74' yellowcard
  • Connor Metcalfe 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabian Kunze 20'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Tresoldi 22'
  • yellowcard Andreas Voglsammer 75'
  • yellowcard Ron-Robert Zieler 90'+5'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Feb 5, 2023 12.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Lukas Daschner 17' goal
  • Connor Metcalfe 27' goal
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Jul 23, 2022 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT HDI-Arena
  • Sebastian Kerk 33' goal
  • Jannik Dehm 53' yellowcard
  • Derrick Kohn 71' goal
  • goal Johannes Eggestein 4'
  • yellowcard Jakov Medic 18'
  • yellowcard Eric Smith 80'
  • yellowcard Jackson Irvine 90'
  • goal Jackson Irvine 90'+5'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 23
Feb 20, 2022 12.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Finn Ole Becker 16' yellowcard
  • goal Dominik Kaiser 40'
  • yellowcard Jannik Dehm 41'
  • goal Sebastian Kerk 57'
  • yellowcard Julian Borner 60'
  • goal Sebastian Stolze 72'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 6
Sep 11, 2021 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jannik Dehm 10' yellowcard
  • Gael Ondoua 25' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Kerk 39' goal
  • Sebastian Ernst 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Guido Burgstaller 10'
  • yellowcard Afeez Aremu 57'
  • yellowcard Daniel-Kofi Kyereh 86'