World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Nov 11, 2021 at 1pm UK
Uganda1 - 1Kenya
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 44.65%. A win for Kenya had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Kenya win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Uganda | Draw | Kenya |
| 44.65% | 27.04% | 28.3% |
| Both teams to score 48.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
