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South Korea national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 11, 2024 at 12pm UK
Seoul World Cup Stadium
China national football team

South Korea
vs.
China

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between South Korea and China, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Singapore 0-7 South Korea
Thursday, June 6 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: China 1-1 Thailand
Thursday, June 6 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We say: South Korea 2-1 China

China have been competitive in the AFC World Cup qualifiers but they have a poor record against South Korea. However, the visitors could prove difficult opponents if they play defensively in order to preserve their three-goal advantage over group rivals Thailand. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a South Korea win with a probability of 67.13%. A draw has a probability of 19.6% and a win for China has a probability of 13.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.32%), while for a China win it is 0-1 (4.48%).

Result
South KoreaDrawChina
67.13% (0.342 0.34) 19.6% (0.091999999999999 0.09) 13.27% (-0.436 -0.44)
Both teams to score 48.18% (-1.526 -1.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.99% (-1.4 -1.4)45.01% (1.399 1.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.64% (-1.358 -1.36)67.36% (1.357 1.36)
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.55% (-0.318 -0.32)12.45% (0.317 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.6% (-0.666 -0.67)38.4% (0.665 0.66)
China Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.03% (-1.539 -1.54)44.97% (1.538 1.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.09% (-1.255 -1.26)80.91% (1.254 1.25)
Score Analysis
    South Korea 67.12%
    China 13.27%
    Draw 19.6%
South KoreaDrawChina
2-0 @ 12.15% (0.43 0.43)
1-0 @ 11.66% (0.55 0.55)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-0 @ 8.44% (0.197 0.2)
3-1 @ 6.74% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-0 @ 4.39% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.51% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.171 -0.17)
5-0 @ 1.83% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.46% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 67.12%
1-1 @ 9.32% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.6% (0.33 0.33)
2-2 @ 3.88% (-0.197 -0.2)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 19.6%
0-1 @ 4.48% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 3.73% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-2 @ 1.79% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-3 @ 0.99% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 13.27%

Who will win Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between South Korea and China?

South Korea
Draw
China
South Korea
100%
Draw
0.0%
China
0.0%
1
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2023 12pm
Second Round
China
0-3
South Korea

Jiang (45+2'), Lei (67'), Yennaris (85'), Zhu (86')
Heung-min (11' pen., 45'), Jung (87')
Yong-woo (74')
rhs 2.0
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