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Asian Cup
Jordan national football team
Asian Cup | Semi-Finals
Feb 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ahmad Bin Ali Stadium
South Korea national football team

Jordan
2 - 0
South Korea

Al-Naimat (53'), Al Tamari (66')
Haddad (45+2'), Abu Hasheesh (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

In-beom (15'), Jung (84'), Kyu-Sung (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Asian Cup clash between Jordan and South Korea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jordan

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Tajikistan 0-1 Jordan
Friday, February 2 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

South Korea

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Australia 1-2 South Korea
Friday, February 2 at 3.30pm in Asian Cup

We said: Jordan 1-2 South Korea

 It is a tremendous achievement for Jordan to have made it this far, but we do not believe they have enough depth or experience to handle a match of this magnitude. Korea tend to leave it late, but their resilience and overall quality should be enough to put them within a game of their first Asian Cup since 1960. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 58.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Jordan had a probability of 18.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Jordan win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
JordanDrawSouth Korea
18.73% (-0.474 -0.47) 22.54% (-0.349 -0.35) 58.73% (0.82599999999999 0.83)
Both teams to score 51.07% (0.277 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.47% (0.785 0.78)47.53% (-0.782 -0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.27% (0.722 0.72)69.73% (-0.718 -0.72)
Jordan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.69% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)39.31% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.98% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)76.02% (0.068000000000012 0.07)
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.15% (0.55500000000001 0.56)15.85% (-0.552 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.96% (1.01 1.01)45.04% (-1.006 -1.01)
Score Analysis
    Jordan 18.73%
    South Korea 58.72%
    Draw 22.53%
JordanDrawSouth Korea
1-0 @ 5.82% (-0.204 -0.2)
2-1 @ 5% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-0 @ 2.72% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 1.56% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 18.73%
1-1 @ 10.71% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 6.23% (-0.205 -0.21)
2-2 @ 4.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 22.53%
0-1 @ 11.47% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-2 @ 10.57% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 9.87% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-3 @ 6.49% (0.154 0.15)
1-3 @ 6.06% (0.132 0.13)
0-4 @ 2.99% (0.125 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.83% (0.056 0.06)
1-4 @ 2.79% (0.112 0.11)
2-4 @ 1.3% (0.05 0.05)
0-5 @ 1.1% (0.065 0.07)
1-5 @ 1.03% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 58.72%

How you voted: Winner Quarter-final 1 vs Winner Quarter-final 2

Winner Quarter-final 1
33.1%
Draw
16.6%
Winner Quarter-final 2
50.3%
145
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 11.30am
Group Stage
Jordan
2-2
South Korea
Yong-woo (37' og.), Al-Naimat (45+6')
Haddad (8'), Al Tamari (18'), Al-Arab (29')
Heung-min (9' pen.), Al-Arab (90+1' og.)
In-beom (28'), Oh (90+5')
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