Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 49.2%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hellas Verona in this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Bologna |
49.2% | 23.72% | 27.08% |
Both teams to score 57.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.41% | 43.6% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.01% | 65.99% |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.16% | 17.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.41% | 48.6% |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.48% | 29.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.46% | 65.54% |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Bologna |
2-1 @ 9.55% 1-0 @ 9.08% 2-0 @ 7.83% 3-1 @ 5.49% 3-0 @ 4.5% 3-2 @ 3.35% 4-1 @ 2.36% 4-0 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.68% Total : 49.2% | 1-1 @ 11.07% 2-2 @ 5.82% 0-0 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.72% | 1-2 @ 6.76% 0-1 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 3.92% 1-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.37% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.27% Total : 27.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |