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Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 7, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Napoli logo

Torino
3 - 0
Napoli

Sanabria (43'), Vlasic (52'), Buongiorno (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zielinski (37'), Jesus (61')
Mazzocchi (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Torino
Friday, December 29 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 0-0 Monza
Friday, December 29 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 1-0 Napoli

As Torino rarely concede on home soil and Napoli were unable to buy a goal over the festive period - and have since lost several key players - it will surely be a low-scoring encounter between the two clubs. One moment of magic - or even madness - could separate them at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.

Result
TorinoDrawNapoli
35.69% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 26.86% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 37.45% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Both teams to score 51.33% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.17% (0.064 0.06)53.83% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.7% (0.053000000000001 0.05)75.3% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12% (0.061000000000007 0.06)28.87% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26% (0.076000000000001 0.08)64.74% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17% (0.010000000000005 0.01)27.82% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.58% (0.015000000000001 0.02)63.42% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Torino 35.69%
    Napoli 37.44%
    Draw 26.86%
TorinoDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 9.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.28% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.57% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 35.69%
1-1 @ 12.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.03% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 10.27% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.57% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 37.44%

How you voted: Torino vs Napoli

Torino
28.8%
Draw
21.6%
Napoli
49.5%
111
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 27
Torino
0-4
Napoli
Osimhen (9', 51'), Kvaratskhelia (35' pen.), Ndombele (68')
Oct 1, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 8
Napoli
3-1
Torino
Zambo Anguissa (6', 12'), Kvaratskhelia (37')
Sanabria (44')
May 7, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 36
Torino
0-1
Napoli

Vojvoda (55'), Singo (79')
Fabian (73')
Mertens (53'), Lozano (56'), Elmas (90+6')
Oct 17, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 8
Napoli
1-0
Torino
Osimhen (81')
Koulibaly (79'), Zambo Anguissa (85')

Rodriguez (37'), Linetty (55'), Pobega (75'), Milinkovic-Savic (90+7')
Apr 26, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Torino
0-2
Napoli

Verdi (45+1'), Mandragora (58')
Mandragora (86')
Bakayoko (11'), Osimhen (13')
Osimhen (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan35285281196289
2AC Milan35218667422571
3Juventus351812548272166
4Bologna351713549272264
5Atalanta BCAtalanta341861063382560
6Roma35179962422060
7Lazio35175134537856
8Napoli351312105344951
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari35712163760-2333
16FrosinoneFrosinone35711174363-2032
17Empoli3588192650-2432
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3529242775-4815


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