Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Sampdoria |
42.51% | 25.03% | 32.46% |
Both teams to score 56.73% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.4% | 46.6% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.13% | 68.87% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.1% | 21.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.84% | 55.16% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.64% | 27.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.18% | 62.82% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Sampdoria |
1-0 @ 9.1% 2-1 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 4.53% 3-0 @ 3.5% 3-2 @ 2.94% 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.41% Total : 42.51% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 5.99% 2-2 @ 5.8% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 7.77% 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 5.03% 1-3 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |