Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 37.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Sassuolo |
37.23% | 24.66% | 38.11% |
Both teams to score 59.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.96% | 44.04% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.58% | 66.42% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.6% | 23.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.61% | 57.4% |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.05% | 22.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.27% | 56.73% |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Sassuolo |
2-1 @ 8.34% 1-0 @ 7.8% 2-0 @ 5.66% 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-2 @ 2.97% 3-0 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.15% Total : 37.23% | 1-1 @ 11.48% 2-2 @ 6.14% 0-0 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.66% | 1-2 @ 8.45% 0-1 @ 7.91% 0-2 @ 5.82% 1-3 @ 4.15% 2-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.86% 1-4 @ 1.53% 2-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.24% Total : 38.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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