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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Mar 12, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Sassuolo logo

Roma
3 - 4
Sassuolo

Zalewski (26'), Dybala (50'), Wijnaldum (90+4')
Smalling (9'), Matic (54'), Ibanez (73'), Camara (86')
Kumbulla (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Lauriente (13', 18'), Berardi (45+4' pen.), Pinamonti (75')
Lopez (50'), Ruan (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 2-0 Real Sociedad
Thursday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sassuolo 3-2 Cremonese
Monday, March 6 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-1 Sassuolo

Perhaps running out of steam amid a hectic fixture list - and with one eye on their trip to Spain next week - Roma could slip up against a club they have recently struggled to beat. Sassuolo are back to something like their fearless best so should expect to breach their hosts' miserly back line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 63.14%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 15.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
RomaDrawSassuolo
63.14% (4.571 4.57) 21.02% (-1.529 -1.53) 15.84% (-3.043 -3.04)
Both teams to score 50.07% (-1.191 -1.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.11% (1.511 1.51)45.89% (-1.51 -1.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.8% (1.418 1.42)68.2% (-1.417 -1.42)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.11% (1.966 1.97)13.89% (-1.965 -1.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.68% (3.748 3.75)41.32% (-3.746 -3.75)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.15% (-2.775 -2.78)41.85% (2.777 2.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.7% (-2.511 -2.51)78.3% (2.511 2.51)
Score Analysis
    Roma 63.13%
    Sassuolo 15.84%
    Draw 21.02%
RomaDrawSassuolo
1-0 @ 11.47% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 11.32% (0.82 0.82)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.45% (1.002 1)
3-1 @ 6.49% (0.431 0.43)
4-0 @ 3.68% (0.708 0.71)
4-1 @ 3.2% (0.413 0.41)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.45% (0.358 0.36)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.084 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.26% (0.236 0.24)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 63.13%
1-1 @ 10% (-0.723 -0.72)
0-0 @ 5.82% (-0.381 -0.38)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.342 -0.34)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 21.02%
0-1 @ 5.07% (-0.758 -0.76)
1-2 @ 4.35% (-0.684 -0.68)
0-2 @ 2.21% (-0.53 -0.53)
1-3 @ 1.26% (-0.314 -0.31)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.205 -0.21)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 15.84%

How you voted: Roma vs Sassuolo

Roma
79.2%
Draw
15.6%
Sassuolo
5.2%
77
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 5.30pm
Feb 13, 2022 5pm
Sassuolo
2-2
Roma
Smalling (47' og.), Traore (73')
Marco Ferrari (19'), Lopez (45+3'), Berardi (45+3')
Marco Ferrari (78')
Abraham (45+1' pen.), Cristante (90+4')
Mancini (21'), Kumbulla (83')
Sep 12, 2021 7.45pm
Apr 3, 2021 2pm
Sassuolo
2-2
Roma
Traore (57'), Raspadori (85')
Duricic (2'), Rogerio (87'), Turati (90'), Haraslin (90+3')
Pellegrini (26' pen.), Peres (69')
Diawara (15'), Pellegrini (44'), Cristante (90+2')
Dec 6, 2020 2pm
Roma
0-0
Sassuolo

Pedro (11'), Villar (25'), Mirante (45+2'), Karsdorp (87')
Pedro (41')

Lopez (18'), Raspadori (71'), Obiang (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Napoli361312115346751
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza351112123846-845
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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