Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 70.88%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 12.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 3-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Sassuolo |
70.88% ( -0) | 16.51% ( 0) | 12.6% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 57.55% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.09% | 31.91% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.54% | 53.46% ( -0) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.01% ( -0) | 7.99% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.82% ( -0) | 28.17% |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.55% ( 0) | 37.44% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.77% ( 0) | 74.22% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Sassuolo |
2-0 @ 9.55% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.38% 3-0 @ 8.05% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.9% 1-0 @ 7.56% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.08% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.99% 3-2 @ 3.88% 5-0 @ 2.57% 5-1 @ 2.52% 4-2 @ 2.45% 5-2 @ 1.24% 6-0 @ 1.08% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.55% Total : 70.88% | 1-1 @ 7.43% 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.99% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.22% Total : 16.51% | 1-2 @ 3.65% 0-1 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 1.51% 0-2 @ 1.44% 1-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.87% Total : 12.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |