Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 65.14%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 15.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Lazio win it was 1-2 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Lazio |
65.14% | 19.49% | 15.37% |
Both teams to score 54.16% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.08% | 39.91% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.72% | 62.28% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.5% | 11.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.62% | 36.38% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.2% | 38.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.46% | 75.53% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Lazio |
2-0 @ 10.43% 2-1 @ 9.88% 1-0 @ 9.65% 3-0 @ 7.52% 3-1 @ 7.12% 4-0 @ 4.07% 4-1 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 3.37% 4-2 @ 1.82% 5-0 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 1.67% Other @ 3.98% Total : 65.13% | 1-1 @ 9.14% 2-2 @ 4.68% 0-0 @ 4.46% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.49% | 1-2 @ 4.33% 0-1 @ 4.23% 0-2 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.48% 1-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.98% Total : 15.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |