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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Apr 1, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Roma logo

Lecce
0 - 0
Roma


Piccoli (38'), Baschirotto (45'), Ramadani (81')
FT

N'Dicka (11'), Cristante (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 0-1 Lecce
Saturday, March 16 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Sassuolo
Sunday, March 17 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 0-2 Roma

Despite optimism after Gotti secured success on his Lecce bow, Roma's momentum under De Rossi and the precedent in this fixture should see the Giallorossi claim their eighth Serie A win since January's managerial change. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawRoma
26.96% (0.518 0.52) 26.16% (-0.052 -0.05) 46.88% (-0.465 -0.46)
Both teams to score 50.02% (0.541 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.1% (0.51 0.51)53.9% (-0.51 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.64% (0.427 0.43)75.36% (-0.426 -0.43)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.94% (0.702 0.7)35.06% (-0.701 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.19% (0.728 0.73)71.81% (-0.727 -0.73)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.02% (0.0040000000000049 0)22.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.23% (0.0049999999999955 0)56.77% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 26.96%
    Roma 46.87%
    Draw 26.15%
LecceDrawRoma
1-0 @ 8.44% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.51% (0.118 0.12)
2-0 @ 4.43% (0.08 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.27% (0.083 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.062 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.55% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 26.96%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.06% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 11.84% (-0.24 -0.24)
1-2 @ 9.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.71% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-3 @ 4.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.27% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.043 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.65% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.57% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 46.87%

How you voted: Lecce vs Roma

Lecce
9.5%
Draw
10.2%
Roma
80.3%
137
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 11
Roma
2-1
Lecce
Azmoun (90+1'), Lukaku (90+4')
Sanches (76'), Llorente (89'), Lukaku (90+6')
Almqvist (72')
Banda (17'), Dorgu (27'), Ramadani (77'), Touba (81'), Espeto (87')
Feb 11, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 22
Lecce
1-1
Roma
Ibanez (7' og.)
Dybala (17' pen.)
Oct 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Roma
2-1
Lecce
Smalling (6'), Dybala (48' pen.)
Espeto (39')
Jan 20, 2022 8pm
Final
Roma
3-1
Lecce
Kumbulla (40'), Abraham (54'), Shomurodov (81')
Afena-Gyan (38'), Ibanez (71'), Abraham (76')
Calabresi (14')
Listkowski (12'), Johann Helgason (44'), Di Mariano (45+1'), Gargiulo (60')
Gargiulo (62')
Feb 23, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 25
Roma
4-0
Lecce
Under (13'), Mkhitaryan (37'), Dzeko (69'), Kolarov (80')
Mancini (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan34285181186389
2AC Milan34217664392570
3Juventus341811547262165
4Bologna341712549272263
5Roma34178961412059
6Atalanta BCAtalanta331761061372457
7Lazio34174134335855
8Fiorentina331481150371350
9Napoli341311105243950
10Torino341113103131046
11Monza341111123644-844
12Genoa33912123540-539
13Lecce34812143149-1836
14CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona34710173145-1431
16FrosinoneFrosinone34710174363-2031
17Empoli3487192650-2431
18Udinese34417133251-1929
19SassuoloSassuolo3468204070-3026
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


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