Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.87%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Inter Milan |
19.1% ( -0.51) | 23.51% ( -0.26) | 57.39% ( 0.76) |
Both teams to score 48.72% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.02% ( 0.34) | 50.98% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.15% ( 0.3) | 72.85% ( -0.3) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.08% ( -0.37) | 40.92% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.52% ( -0.33) | 77.48% ( 0.33) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.46% ( 0.4) | 17.54% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.93% ( 0.7) | 48.07% ( -0.69) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.06% Total : 19.1% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.83% Total : 23.51% | 0-1 @ 12.49% 0-2 @ 10.87% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.31% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 5.64% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 2.75% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.45% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.59% Total : 57.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 63 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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