Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 44.29%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for an AC Milan win it was 0-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | AC Milan |
44.29% ( 0.83) | 28.16% ( 0.15) | 27.54% ( -0.99) |
Both teams to score 44.82% ( -0.97) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.23% ( -0.95) | 60.76% ( 0.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.18% ( -0.72) | 80.82% ( 0.72) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.67% ( -0.01) | 27.33% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.22% ( -0.01) | 62.78% ( 0.01) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.67% ( -1.33) | 38.32% ( 1.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.92% ( -1.3) | 75.08% ( 1.3) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 13.58% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 44.29% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 10.04% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 2% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.6% Total : 27.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
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